MATCH OVERVIEW
Standard Liège and Charleroi are set to face off in a pivotal Belgium First Division match that could have significant implications for their season standings. As the season nears its conclusion, both teams are eager to secure vital points. The match will take place at the iconic Stade Maurice Dufrasne, with a kickoff time of 11:30 AM on May 4, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Charleroi slightly favored to win. The average odds are 3.15 for a Standard Liège victory, 3.21 for a draw, and 2.24 for a Charleroi win. This translates to probabilities of approximately 31.75% for a home win, 31.15% for a draw, and 44.64% for an away win. Charleroi's higher probability reflects their stronger form and statistical advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Standard Liège
Standard Liège has had a challenging season, with an average of 0.75 goals per match and a possession rate of 42.69%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.17 goals per game. However, their offensive struggles are evident, with only 12 matches featuring over 2.5 goals.
Charleroi
Charleroi, on the other hand, boasts a more potent attack, averaging 1.31 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 52.11%. Their ability to score is complemented by a solid defense, conceding 1.14 goals per game. Charleroi's matches have seen over 2.5 goals 41.67% of the time, indicating a more dynamic style of play.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Charleroi has had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on Standard Liège's defensive lapses. Their tactical approach, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting spaces, has proven effective against Standard Liège.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Standard Liège
- Andi Zeqiri: With 9 goals this season, Zeqiri is Standard Liège's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Dennis Eckert Ayensa: Contributing 7 goals, Ayensa's form will be crucial for Standard Liège's attacking prospects.
Charleroi
- Daan Heymans: Leading Charleroi with 13 goals, Heymans is a significant threat in the attacking third.
- Nikola Stulic: Also with 13 goals, Stulic's partnership with Heymans could be decisive.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Standard Liège: Average 9.5 shots per game, with 3 on target.
- Charleroi: Average 13.58 shots per game, with 4.69 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Standard Liège: Average 43.39 interceptions per game.
- Charleroi: Average 37 interceptions per game.
Possession and Passing
- Standard Liège: Average 365.31 passes per game, with a success rate of 78.3%.
- Charleroi: Average 471.64 passes per game, with a success rate of 83.9%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Charleroi is likely to edge out Standard Liège in this encounter. Charleroi's superior attacking metrics and possession statistics give them a slight advantage. Key factors such as Charleroi's ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction
Charleroi is expected to win with a scoreline of 2-1, with the halftime score likely to be 1-0 in favor of Charleroi. The probability for both teams to score is high, given their respective attacking capabilities.