MATCH OVERVIEW
Santos will host Ceará in a pivotal Brazil Série A match at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. With the season in full swing, both teams are looking to climb the league table and secure a favorable position. Santos, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings and the support of their fans. Meanwhile, Ceará will be determined to upset the hosts and gain valuable points on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Santos as the favorites with odds of 1.69, translating to a 59.17% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.45, indicating a 28.99% chance, while Ceará's odds of 4.8 reflect a 20.83% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Santos is expected to have the upper hand, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Santos
Santos has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 5 matches played. They have a 60% success rate in matches with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Their possession stands at 46.8%, with an average of 1.2 goals per game. Santos' defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
Ceará
Ceará has played 6 matches this season, with a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals and a 66.67% rate of both teams scoring. Their possession is lower at 38.67%, but they average 1.33 goals per game. Ceará's defense has been slightly more robust, conceding 1.17 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Santos has had the edge over Ceará in their head-to-head encounters, often leveraging their home advantage. However, Ceará has shown resilience and the ability to challenge stronger teams.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Santos
- Álvaro Barreal: With 2 goals this season, Barreal is a key offensive player for Santos.
- Gonzalo Escobar: Leading in points, Escobar's performance will be crucial.
Ceará
- Pedro Raul: With 4 goals, Raul is Ceará's top scorer and a significant threat.
- Matheus Bahia: His contributions in defense and attack make him a vital player.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Santos
- Average shots: 10.2
- Successful dribbles: 18.6
- Expected goals: 1.19
Ceará
- Average shots: 8.83
- Successful dribbles: 13.5
- Expected goals: 0.89
Santos has a slight edge in offensive metrics, but Ceará's defense could pose challenges.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Santos is likely to win, given their home advantage and superior offensive statistics. Key factors include Santos' ability to convert chances and Ceará's defensive resilience. The final score prediction is Santos 2-1 Ceará, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 60%, and the match could see over 2.5 goals, with a 55% chance.