MATCH OVERVIEW
Wrexham and Ipswich Town are set to face off in the FA Cup, with both teams looking to make a significant impact in this prestigious competition. The match will take place at the Racecourse Ground, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00 PM on February 14, 2026. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to progress further in the tournament and potentially secure a memorable cup run.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Ipswich Town as the favorites, with odds of 1.97 for an away win. Wrexham, playing at home, have odds of 3.36, while a draw is priced at 3.16. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 50.8% for an Ipswich win, 29.8% for a Wrexham victory, and 31.6% for a draw. Based on these figures, Ipswich Town is expected to have the upper hand, but Wrexham's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Wrexham
Wrexham has shown a strong offensive presence this season, averaging 3 goals per match and maintaining a 100% record in both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score categories. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an average of 3 goals conceded per game and an expected goals against of 3.71. Their possession rate of 34% indicates a counter-attacking style, relying on quick transitions and effective dribbling, as evidenced by their 25 successful dribbles per match.
Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town, on the other hand, boasts a more balanced approach with a higher possession rate of 69%. They average 2 goals per game and have a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal on average. Their expected goals against is significantly lower at 1.21, highlighting their defensive strength. Ipswich's ability to control the game through passing, with 551 successful passes per match, could be a decisive factor in this encounter.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Ipswich Town has had the upper hand in previous meetings, but Wrexham's current form and home advantage could level the playing field. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Wrexham likely to focus on exploiting Ipswich's defensive gaps through quick counter-attacks.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Wrexham
- Arthur Okonkwo: A key figure in goal, with 481.17 points this season.
- Ollie Rathbone: A dynamic midfielder, contributing 1 goal and 325.37 points.
Ipswich Town
- Jaden Philogene: A standout performer with 458 points and 1 goal.
- Jacob Greaves: Solid in defense, scoring 1 goal and accumulating 345.03 points.
The matchup between Rathbone and Philogene in midfield will be pivotal, as both players have the ability to influence the game's tempo and create scoring opportunities.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Wrexham: Average 15 shots per game, with 10 on target, indicating a high conversion rate.
- Ipswich Town: Average 27 shots per game, but only 7 on target, suggesting room for improvement in accuracy.
- Defensive Metrics: Ipswich's lower expected goals against (1.21) compared to Wrexham's (3.71) highlights their defensive superiority.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Ipswich Town is favored to win this encounter. Their superior possession and defensive metrics give them an edge, but Wrexham's attacking prowess and home advantage cannot be underestimated. The key to victory will lie in Ipswich's ability to maintain possession and capitalize on their chances, while Wrexham will aim to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Wrexham 1-2 Ipswich Town Half Time Score Prediction: Wrexham 0-1 Ipswich Town Both Teams to Score Probability: 80% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 85%
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