MATCH OVERVIEW
Olympique Lyonnais and Basel are set to clash in a highly anticipated UEFA Europa League match. Lyon, playing at home, will be keen to capitalize on their strong form and secure a win against Basel. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to progress further in the competition. The Groupama Stadium will host this encounter, with kick-off scheduled for 16:45 GMT on October 23, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest Lyon is the favorite with odds of 1.48, indicating a 67.6% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.91, translating to a 25.6% chance, while Basel's odds of 4.99 reflect a 20% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Lyon is expected to dominate, but Basel's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Olympique Lyonnais
- Current Form: Lyon has shown solid form, averaging 1.5 goals per match and maintaining a high possession rate of 63.5%.
- Strengths: Strong passing game with 563.5 successful passes per match and a high interception rate of 29.5.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive prowess, Lyon has struggled with converting chances, as indicated by their low over 2.5 goals percentage.
Basel
- Current Form: Basel has been competitive, averaging 1.5 goals per match and a possession rate of 42%.
- Strengths: Basel excels in duels, with 96 successful duels per match, and has a solid offensive rating of 604.42.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an expected goals against of 2.31.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Lyon has had the upper hand in previous encounters, but Basel's resilience and tactical adaptability could pose challenges.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Olympique Lyonnais
- Dominik Greif: A key figure in defense, contributing significantly to Lyon's solid backline.
- Tanner Tessmann: With 1 goal this season, Tessmann is a crucial part of Lyon's attacking strategy.
Basel
- Marwin Hitz: Basel's goalkeeper, known for his impressive saves, will be pivotal in keeping Lyon at bay.
- Xherdan Shaqiri: A creative force in Basel's midfield, Shaqiri's ability to score and assist makes him a player to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Lyon averages 11 shots per match, with 4 on target, while Basel averages 12 shots, with 4 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Lyon's defense is robust, conceding 0 goals on average, whereas Basel concedes 1 goal per match.
- Possession and Passing: Lyon's superior possession and passing accuracy could be decisive against Basel's less dominant midfield.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Lyon is favored to win, given their home advantage and strong form. Key factors include Lyon's possession dominance and Basel's defensive vulnerabilities. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Lyon, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 50%, and the match could see over 2.5 goals, with a 50% probability.
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