MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Veikkausliiga match between Jaro and KuPS is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure vital points. KuPS, currently leading the league, will be looking to extend their dominance, while Jaro aims to leverage their home advantage to upset the visitors. The match will take place at Jaro's home stadium on May 16, 2025, at 17:00, promising an exciting evening of football.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor KuPS with an average of 1.89, indicating a strong probability of an away victory. Jaro's odds stand at 3.79, suggesting they are the underdogs, while the draw is priced at 3.6. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 52.9% for KuPS to win, 26.3% for Jaro, and 27.8% for a draw. Given KuPS's superior form and league position, they are expected to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Jaro
Jaro's season has been a mix of challenges and opportunities. With an average of 1.2 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.4%, they have struggled to dominate games. Their defense, conceding 1.2 goals per match, will need to tighten up against KuPS's potent attack. Jaro's strengths lie in their duels and successful dribbles, averaging 200.2 and 12.6 respectively, which could be crucial in breaking down KuPS's defense.
KuPS
KuPS have been impressive this season, averaging 1.86 goals per match and maintaining a high possession rate of 57.14%. Their defense is particularly strong, conceding only 0.43 goals per match. KuPS's ability to control the game through their passing, averaging 575.14 passes per match, will be key in dictating the tempo against Jaro.
Head-to-Head
Historically, KuPS have had the upper hand in this fixture, often outplaying Jaro with their tactical prowess and superior squad depth. Jaro will need to capitalize on their home advantage and disrupt KuPS's rhythm to stand a chance.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Jaro
Kerfala Cissoko has been a standout performer for Jaro, scoring 4 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Jaro's chances. Miguel Santos and Erik Gunnarsson have also contributed significantly, with points tallies of 121.97 and 108.59 respectively.
KuPS
Otto Ruoppi leads the charge for KuPS with 3 goals this season, supported by Johannes Kreidl's impressive defensive contributions. Samuli Miettinen and Saku Savolainen have been pivotal in KuPS's midfield, ensuring fluid transitions and maintaining possession.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
KuPS's offensive metrics are superior, with 14 shots per match compared to Jaro's 8.6. Their expected goals of 1.78 also surpass Jaro's 1.64, indicating a more threatening attack.
Defensive Metrics
Defensively, KuPS have the edge, conceding only 0.43 goals per match, while Jaro concedes 1.2. KuPS's interceptions and clearances are slightly lower, but their overall defensive structure is more robust.
Possession and Passing
KuPS's possession rate of 57.14% and successful passes of 491.14 highlight their ability to control the game, compared to Jaro's 44.4% possession and 287.8 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, KuPS are likely to dominate the match, leveraging their superior offensive and defensive capabilities. Jaro's home advantage might offer some resistance, but KuPS's form and tactical discipline should see them through. Key factors include KuPS's ability to maintain possession and exploit Jaro's defensive vulnerabilities.
Final Score Prediction: KuPS 2-1 Jaro Half Time Score Prediction: KuPS 1-0 Jaro Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 55%