The upcoming match between Alemannia Aachen and Arminia Bielefeld is pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure their positions in the 3. Liga standings. Alemannia Aachen, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Tivoli Stadium to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Arminia Bielefeld, with slightly better odds, will be eager to capitalize on their recent form and secure an away victory.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Arminia Bielefeld slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win: 3.01
- Draw: 3.28
- Away Win: 2.33
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 33.22% for a home win, 30.49% for a draw, and 42.92% for an away win. Arminia Bielefeld's higher probability reflects their stronger form and performance metrics this season.
Team Analysis
Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.07 goals per match and a possession rate of 41.97%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.14 goals per game. However, their offensive capabilities are limited, as indicated by their expected goals of 1.36.
- Strengths: Solid defense, high interception rate (42.38 per match)
- Weaknesses: Low possession, limited goal-scoring ability
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld has shown better form, averaging 1.46 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 56.25%. Their offensive prowess is evident with an expected goals of 1.71, and they have a slightly better defensive record, conceding 1.04 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession, strong offensive metrics
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, lower interception rate
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Arminia Bielefeld has had the upper hand in encounters with Alemannia Aachen, often leveraging their superior possession and passing accuracy to dominate matches.
Tactical Approaches
Alemannia Aachen is likely to adopt a defensive strategy, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces to exploit Arminia Bielefeld's vulnerabilities. Conversely, Arminia Bielefeld will aim to control the game through possession and quick transitions.
Key Players Spotlight
Alemannia Aachen
- Sasa Strujic: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Aachen's attacking plays
- Soufiane El-Faouzi: Key midfielder, contributing both defensively and offensively
Arminia Bielefeld
- Julian Kania: Leading goal scorer with 11 goals, a constant threat in the attacking third
- Jonas Kersken: Defensive stalwart, pivotal in maintaining Bielefeld's solid defensive record
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Alemannia Aachen: 12.28 shots per match, 4.34 on target
- Arminia Bielefeld: 15.21 shots per match, 4.93 on target
Defensive Metrics
- Alemannia Aachen: 2.79 goalkeeper saves per match
- Arminia Bielefeld: 3.32 goalkeeper saves per match
Possession and Passing
- Alemannia Aachen: 298.24 passes per match, 217.76 successful
- Arminia Bielefeld: 416.57 passes per match, 336.68 successful
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data and current form, Arminia Bielefeld is favored to win this match. Their superior possession and offensive capabilities could be the deciding factors. However, Alemannia Aachen's defensive resilience and home advantage should not be underestimated.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: Arminia Bielefeld's possession and offensive strength, Alemannia Aachen's defensive solidity
- Final Score Prediction: Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Alemannia Aachen
- Half Time Score Prediction: Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Alemannia Aachen