Match Overview
The clash between Hansa Rostock and Ingolstadt in the 3. Liga is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. Both teams are in the upper half of the table, with aspirations of promotion. Hansa Rostock, playing at home, will look to leverage their home ground advantage, while Ingolstadt aims to maintain their strong away form.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are 2.08 for a Hansa Rostock win, 3.48 for a draw, and 3.28 for an Ingolstadt victory. These odds suggest a tight contest, with Hansa Rostock slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 48.1%, a draw at 28.7%, and an away win at 30.5%. Based on these odds, a narrow victory for Hansa Rostock seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Hansa Rostock
- Current Form: Hansa Rostock has shown a balanced performance this season with an average of 1.32 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.76%.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with an average of 222.6 per match and a high success rate in dribbles (16.32 successful dribbles per match).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable in defense with 1.28 goals conceded per match and a high number of dangerous own half losses (6.8 per match).
Ingolstadt
- Current Form: Ingolstadt has been prolific in attack, averaging 1.96 goals per match and a high both teams to score percentage of 75%.
- Strengths: Offensive prowess with a high CompaScore Offensive Rating of 425.16 and effective in long passes (31.29 successful long passes per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties with 1.46 goals conceded per match and a lower possession rate of 47.88%.
Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, Hansa Rostock and Ingolstadt have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This history suggests another competitive match is on the cards.
Tactical Approaches
Hansa Rostock is likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting Ingolstadt's defensive weaknesses, while Ingolstadt will aim to capitalize on their attacking strengths and counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Hansa Rostock
- Sigurd Haugen: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial in leading the attack.
- Ahmet Gürleyen: Key defensive player with a high CompaScore rating.
Ingolstadt
- Sebastian Grönning: Leading goal scorer with 14 goals, a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Pelle Boevink: Key player with the highest points in the team, instrumental in both defense and attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Ingolstadt leads with 1.96 goals per match compared to Hansa Rostock's 1.32.
- Defensive Metrics: Hansa Rostock has a slightly better defensive record with 1.28 goals conceded per match compared to Ingolstadt's 1.46.
- Possession and Passing: Hansa Rostock averages more possession and successful passes, indicating a more possession-based approach.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Hansa Rostock is slightly favored to win this match. Key factors include their home advantage and better defensive record. However, Ingolstadt's attacking threat cannot be underestimated. A close match is expected, with Hansa Rostock likely edging out a victory.
Final Score Prediction: Hansa Rostock 2-1 Ingolstadt Half Time Score Prediction: Hansa Rostock 1-1 Ingolstadt Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%