MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming clash between Wehen Wiesbaden and Erzgebirge Aue in the 3. Liga is set to be a thrilling encounter. As the season unfolds, both teams are eager to secure vital points to improve their standings. Wehen Wiesbaden, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to gain an edge over Erzgebirge Aue. The match is scheduled for November 28, 2025, at 18:00 GMT, promising an exciting evening of football.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Wehen Wiesbaden slightly favored at 2.05. The odds for a draw stand at 3.4, while Erzgebirge Aue is priced at 3.3. This indicates a close contest, with Wehen Wiesbaden having a slight edge due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win is approximately 48.78%, a draw is 29.41%, and an away win is 30.30%. Based on these odds, Wehen Wiesbaden is expected to have a marginal advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Wehen Wiesbaden
Wehen Wiesbaden has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1.21 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding 1.21 goals per game. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.89 suggest they have the potential to score more, indicating room for improvement in finishing. With a possession rate of 48.71%, they maintain a decent control of the game.
Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue, on the other hand, averages 1.14 goals per match and concedes 1.64 goals, highlighting a need for defensive solidity. Their xG of 1.29 shows they are slightly underperforming in terms of goal conversion. With a possession rate of 49.5%, they are capable of controlling the game but need to enhance their attacking efficiency.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Wehen Wiesbaden
Nikolas Agrafiotis, with 5 goals this season, is a key player for Wehen Wiesbaden. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial in this match. Fatih Kaya and Moritz Flotho also contribute significantly to the team's attacking prowess.
Erzgebirge Aue
Julian Guttau, with 4 goals, is a standout performer for Erzgebirge Aue. His attacking capabilities will be vital for the visitors. Ryan Malone and Marvin Stefaniak are also key figures in their lineup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Wehen Wiesbaden: Average shots per game stand at 13.5, with 5.36 on target, indicating a need for better accuracy.
- Erzgebirge Aue: Average shots per game are 13.64, with 5.14 on target, showing similar offensive challenges.
Possession and Passing
Both teams have similar possession stats, with Erzgebirge Aue slightly ahead at 49.5%. Passing accuracy is crucial, with Wehen Wiesbaden averaging 394.79 passes per game and Erzgebirge Aue at 399.36.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Wehen Wiesbaden is slightly favored to win, given their home advantage and slightly better defensive record. Key factors will include the performance of their top scorers and the ability to convert chances. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a final score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Wehen Wiesbaden.
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