Match Overview
Hamburger SV and Fortuna Düsseldorf are set to face off in a pivotal Bundesliga 2 match that could have significant implications for their promotion aspirations. Hamburger SV, currently enjoying a strong season, will host Fortuna Düsseldorf at the iconic Volksparkstadion. With both teams in the top half of the table, this match is crucial for maintaining momentum and securing a favorable position as the season progresses.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Hamburger SV, with odds of 1.73 for a home win, translating to a 57.8% probability. A draw is priced at 3.74, indicating a 26.7% chance, while an away win for Fortuna Düsseldorf is at 3.84, giving them a 26% probability. Based on these odds, Hamburger SV is favored to secure a victory, but Fortuna Düsseldorf's potential to cause an upset cannot be overlooked.
Team Analysis
Hamburger SV
- Current Form: Hamburger SV has been impressive this season, with an average of 2.13 goals per match and a possession rate of 53.96%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities, evidenced by their high goals per match and a 70.83% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.29 goals per match.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
- Current Form: Fortuna Düsseldorf has shown resilience, averaging 1.71 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 51.33%.
- Strengths: Effective passing game with a high success rate in long passes and crosses.
- Weaknesses: Slightly weaker defense, conceding 1.42 goals per match on average.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. The tactical battle will be intriguing, with Hamburger SV likely to leverage their attacking prowess, while Fortuna Düsseldorf may focus on a balanced approach to exploit any defensive lapses.
Key Players Spotlight
Hamburger SV
- Davie Selke: Leading goal scorer with 16 goals, Selke's form will be crucial for HSV's attacking success.
- Robert Glatzel: A key playmaker with significant contributions in assists and goals.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
- Ísak Jóhannesson: Joint top scorer with 9 goals, Jóhannesson's ability to find the net will be vital.
- Dawid Kownacki: Another key player with 9 goals, providing a consistent threat in the attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Hamburger SV averages 13.29 shots per match, with 5.5 on target, while Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 12.08 shots, with 4.38 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: HSV's defense is slightly more robust with 42.13 interceptions per match compared to Düsseldorf's 37.46.
- Passing and Possession: Both teams are evenly matched in passing accuracy, with HSV slightly ahead in possession.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Hamburger SV is likely to edge out Fortuna Düsseldorf in this encounter. Key factors such as home advantage and superior offensive statistics favor HSV. However, Düsseldorf's ability to capitalize on defensive errors could make this a closely fought match.
Final Score Prediction: Hamburger SV 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Half Time Score Prediction: Hamburger SV 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%