MATCH OVERVIEW
Karlsruher SC will host Paderborn in a pivotal Bundesliga 2 match that could have lasting implications on the league standings. As the season draws to a close, every point is vital, and both teams will be eager to secure a win. The match will be held at the Wildparkstadion, with kickoff set for 13:30 on May 18, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Paderborn with an average of 1.61, indicating a strong probability of an away win. Karlsruher SC's odds stand at 4.29, suggesting they are the underdogs, while the draw is priced at 4.54. This translates to a 62.1% chance for Paderborn to win, a 22.1% chance for a draw, and a 15.8% chance for Karlsruher SC to claim victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.64 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.85%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.67 goals per game. However, their attacking prowess is evident with a 69.7% over 2.5 goals rate.
Paderborn
Paderborn boasts a slightly better form, averaging 1.7 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 52.15%. Their defense is more solid, conceding only 1.3 goals per game. Paderborn's offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 60.61% over 2.5 goals rate.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Paderborn has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outperforming Karlsruher SC. Their tactical approach, focusing on possession and quick transitions, has proven effective against Karlsruher SC's defensive setup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Karlsruher SC
- Marvin Wanitzek: With 13 goals this season, Wanitzek is a key figure in Karlsruher SC's attack.
- Budu Zivzivadze: Another crucial player, contributing 12 goals.
Paderborn
- Filip Bilbija: Leading the charge with 9 goals, Bilbija is a vital component of Paderborn's forward line.
- Adriano Grimaldi: His 8 goals add depth to Paderborn's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Karlsruher SC: Average 11.79 shots per game, with 3.88 on target.
- Paderborn: Average 13.61 shots per game, with 4.91 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Karlsruher SC: Concede 1.67 goals per game.
- Paderborn: Concede 1.3 goals per game.
Possession and Passing
- Karlsruher SC: 408.39 passes per game, 337.67 successful.
- Paderborn: 428.82 passes per game, 357.88 successful.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Paderborn is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their higher possession rate and more effective defense. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Paderborn, with a halftime score of 1-0. Expect both teams to score, with a 72.73% probability, and a 69.7% chance for over 2.5 goals.