MATCH OVERVIEW
Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund are set to face off in a highly anticipated Bundesliga match at the Europa-Park Stadion. Scheduled for December 14, 2025, at 14:30 GMT, this clash holds significant weight in the current season as both teams vie for crucial points. Dortmund, with their eyes on the top spots, will be keen to secure a victory, while Freiburg aims to leverage their home advantage to climb the standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 3.26 for a Freiburg win, 3.46 for a draw, and 2.12 for a Dortmund victory. These odds suggest a competitive match, with Dortmund slightly favored to win. The probability of a Dortmund win stands at approximately 47.2%, while Freiburg's chances are around 30.7%, and a draw is at 28.9%. Based on these odds, Dortmund is expected to edge out Freiburg, but the match could be closely contested.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Freiburg
Freiburg has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.58 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.92%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game. However, their offensive play, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.64, indicates potential for scoring.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund, on the other hand, has been more consistent, averaging 1.75 goals per match and maintaining a slightly higher possession rate of 53.17%. Their defense has been solid, conceding only 0.92 goals per game. Dortmund's tactical approach, focusing on high possession and quick transitions, could pose challenges for Freiburg.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Dortmund has had the upper hand in this fixture, often coming out on top. Freiburg will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Freiburg
- Vincenzo Grifo: With 4 goals this season, Grifo is a key player for Freiburg's attack.
- Johan Manzambi: His contributions in midfield will be crucial for controlling the game's tempo.
Borussia Dortmund
- Serhou Guirassy: Leading the scoring charts for Dortmund with 5 goals, Guirassy will be a significant threat.
- Karim Adeyemi: With 4 goals, Adeyemi's pace and skill can unlock defenses.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Freiburg: Average 11.25 shots per game, with 4.33 on target.
- Dortmund: Slightly higher with 11.75 shots per game, 4.42 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Dortmund's defense is stronger, with fewer goals conceded and higher interception rates.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on current form and statistical analysis, Borussia Dortmund is favored to win this match. Key factors include their superior defensive record and attacking prowess led by Guirassy and Adeyemi. Freiburg's home advantage and potential for goals through Grifo could make it a competitive game.
Final Score Prediction: Freiburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund Half Time Score Prediction: Freiburg 0-1 Borussia Dortmund Probability of Both Teams to Score: 58% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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