MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming League of Ireland match between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are in the hunt for crucial points as the season progresses, making this match significant for their respective campaigns. The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium will be the venue for this clash, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 GMT on May 23, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are quite balanced, with Derry City at 2.6, a draw at 2.98, and Shamrock Rovers at 2.81. This suggests a closely contested match, with the probabilities indicating a slight edge for the home team. The probability of a Derry City win is approximately 38.5%, a draw is 33.6%, and a Shamrock Rovers win is 35.6%. Based on these odds, a draw or a narrow victory for either side seems likely.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Derry City
- Current Form: Derry City has played 16 matches this season, with a mixed record.
- Strengths: They have a solid possession rate of 52.44% and a decent goal-scoring average of 1.31 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.13 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Derry City has had competitive encounters with Shamrock Rovers, making this match unpredictable.
Shamrock Rovers
- Current Form: Shamrock Rovers have played 17 matches, showing strong form with a higher goal average of 1.82 per match.
- Strengths: They boast a superior possession rate of 57.06% and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.88 goals per game.
- Weaknesses: Their discipline could be a concern, with an average of 2 yellow cards per match.
- Head-to-Head: Shamrock Rovers have often been a tough opponent for Derry City, adding intrigue to this fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Derry City
- Michael Duffy: A key player with 6 goals this season, Duffy's performance will be crucial.
- Liam Boyce: With 4 goals, Boyce is another player to watch.
Shamrock Rovers
- Graham Burke: Leading the team with 6 goals, Burke's attacking prowess is vital.
- Aaron Greene: With 5 goals, Greene adds depth to their attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Shamrock Rovers have a higher average of shots (14.29) compared to Derry City (11.13).
- Defensive Metrics: Derry City averages more interceptions (37.75) than Shamrock Rovers (40.53), indicating a proactive defensive approach.
- Possession and Passing: Shamrock Rovers lead in possession (57.06%) and successful passes (438.59), highlighting their control in games.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested. Shamrock Rovers' superior offensive and defensive metrics give them a slight edge. However, Derry City's home advantage and competitive spirit could level the playing field. Key factors will include the performance of top scorers like Michael Duffy and Graham Burke.
Final Score Prediction: 1-1 draw Half Time Score Prediction: 0-0 Probability for Both Teams to Score: 56% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 51%