MATCH OVERVIEW
Mantova and Carrarese are set to clash in a pivotal Serie B match that could have significant implications for their playoff aspirations. With Mantova currently holding a slight edge in the standings, this home fixture presents an opportunity to solidify their position. Carrarese, on the other hand, will be eager to upset the hosts and boost their own chances of a playoff berth. The match will take place at Mantova's stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 18:30 on May 9, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this encounter suggest a competitive match, with Mantova favored at 2.16, indicating a 46.3% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.01, translating to a 33.2% chance, while Carrarese's odds of 3.53 reflect a 28.3% probability of an away victory. These figures suggest that Mantova is slightly more likely to secure the win, but the draw remains a plausible outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mantova
Mantova has shown solid form this season, with a possession rate of 61.56% and an average of 1.25 goals per game. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a high shots per game average of 12.47, with 4.08 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.53 goals per match, which is an area of concern. Their ability to control the game through possession and passing (490.17 passes per game) will be crucial.
Carrarese
Carrarese has been less dominant in possession, averaging 49.69%, but they have a respectable defensive record, conceding 1.28 goals per game. Their offensive output is slightly lower, with 1.03 goals per match. Carrarese's strength lies in their ability to intercept and clear the ball, averaging 38.67 interceptions and 5.67 clearances per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Mantova has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Carrarese's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge. Tactical adjustments and player matchups will be key in determining the outcome.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mantova
- Leonardo Mancuso: With 9 goals this season, Mancuso is Mantova's leading scorer and a crucial player in their attacking setup.
- Marco Festa: His defensive contributions have been vital, with a season rating of 138.46 points.
Carrarese
- Marco Bleve: A standout performer with 190.42 points, Bleve's defensive prowess will be essential.
- N. Schiavi: With 5 goals, Schiavi is a key figure in Carrarese's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Mantova: High possession and passing accuracy are their strengths, but they need to improve defensively.
- Carrarese: Strong in interceptions and clearances, they must capitalize on counter-attacks.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Mantova's home advantage and superior possession stats suggest they are likely to control the game. However, Carrarese's defensive resilience could lead to a tightly contested match. The key factors will be Mantova's ability to convert possession into goals and Carrarese's counter-attacking opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Mantova 2-1 Carrarese
Half Time Score Prediction
Mantova 1-0 Carrarese
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 46.3%
- Away Win: 28.3%
- Draw: 33.2%
- Both Teams to Score: 58%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 52%