MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Modena and Südtirol is set to be a captivating encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league. Modena, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong form and home advantage to secure a victory. Meanwhile, Südtirol, despite being the underdogs, will aim to defy the odds and clinch a win. The match will be held at Modena's home ground on November 23, 2025, at 14:00 GMT.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Modena, with odds of 1.63 indicating a strong probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.45, while an away win for Südtirol stands at 4.9. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 61.35% for a Modena victory, 28.99% for a draw, and 20.41% for a Südtirol win. Based on these figures, Modena is expected to dominate, but Südtirol's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Modena
Modena has shown impressive form this season, with an average of 1.75 goals per match and a possession rate of 53.33%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 14.92 shots per game, with 4.42 on target. Defensively, Modena has been solid, conceding only 0.67 goals per match. Their ability to control the game is evident in their passing accuracy, with 318.17 successful passes per match.
Südtirol
Südtirol, on the other hand, has struggled with possession, averaging only 35.67%. Despite this, they have managed to score 1.17 goals per match, showcasing their efficiency in front of goal. Their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.42 goals per game. Südtirol's ability to intercept and clear the ball is notable, with 39.25 interceptions and 8.5 clearances per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Modena has had the upper hand in encounters with Südtirol, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins. However, Südtirol's resilience and ability to score against stronger teams make them a formidable opponent.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Modena
- Ettore Gliozzi: With 7 goals this season, Gliozzi is Modena's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Daniel Tonoli: Contributing both defensively and offensively, Tonoli has scored 2 goals and amassed 166.37 points.
Südtirol
- Silvio Merkaj: Leading Südtirol's attack with 4 goals, Merkaj is crucial to their offensive strategy.
- Raphael Kofler: A versatile player with 170.6 points, Kofler's contributions are vital for Südtirol's performance.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Modena: Averaging 1.86 expected goals and 0.69 expected goals against, Modena's offensive and defensive metrics are strong.
- Südtirol: With 1.29 expected goals and 1.43 expected goals against, Südtirol's metrics indicate a need for improvement in defense.
Possession and Passing
- Modena: Their possession rate of 53.33% and successful passes highlight their ability to control the game.
- Südtirol: Despite lower possession, Südtirol's passing accuracy remains competitive.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena is favored to win, with their strong home form and superior statistics. Key factors include their offensive prowess and solid defense. Südtirol's chances hinge on their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and tighten their defense.
Final Score Prediction
Modena 2 - 1 Südtirol
Half Time Score Prediction
Modena 1 - 0 Südtirol
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 61.35%
- Away Win: 20.41%
- Draw: 28.99%
- Both Teams to Score: 62.5%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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