Match Overview
Pisa and Südtirol are locked in a battle for playoff positions in Serie B, making this match pivotal for both teams. Pisa, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong form and home advantage to secure a vital win. Südtirol, on the other hand, will aim to upset the odds and claim valuable points on the road.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest Pisa is favored to win with odds of 1.99, translating to a probability of approximately 50.3%. The draw is priced at 2.82, indicating a 35.5% chance, while Südtirol's odds of 4.35 suggest a 23% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Pisa is expected to emerge victorious, but the draw remains a plausible outcome.
Team Analysis
Pisa
- Current Form: Pisa has shown consistency throughout the season, averaging 1.58 goals per match and maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.92 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: Strong attacking metrics with 11.81 shots per game and a high successful dribble rate of 12.36.
- Weaknesses: Possession is relatively low at 46.14%, which could be exploited by Südtirol.
Südtirol
- Current Form: Südtirol has been competitive, averaging 1.31 goals per match but conceding 1.5 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling with 13.78 successful dribbles per game and a higher match corners average of 9.47.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate at 43.72% and a higher rate of dangerous own half losses.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Pisa has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Südtirol's recent form suggests they could challenge Pisa's dominance.
Tactical Approaches
Pisa is likely to focus on their attacking prowess, utilizing key players like Matteo Tramoni to break down Südtirol's defense. Südtirol may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, relying on Raphael Odogwu's pace and goal-scoring ability.
Key Players Spotlight
Pisa
- Matteo Tramoni: Leading goal scorer with 13 goals, crucial for Pisa's attacking strategy.
- Antonio Caracciolo: Defensive stalwart, pivotal in maintaining Pisa's solid defensive record.
Südtirol
- Raphael Odogwu: Key forward with 5 goals, expected to challenge Pisa's defense.
- Salvatore Molina: Versatile midfielder, instrumental in Südtirol's transition play.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Pisa averages 1.58 goals and 11.81 shots per game, while Südtirol averages 1.31 goals and 10.89 shots.
- Defensive Metrics: Pisa's defense is stronger, conceding 0.92 goals compared to Südtirol's 1.5.
- Possession and Passing: Pisa's passing accuracy is slightly higher, with 274.58 successful passes per game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Pisa is likely to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior defensive record. Key factors include Pisa's attacking depth and Südtirol's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a competitive match with Pisa edging out Südtirol.
Final Score Prediction: Pisa 2-1 Südtirol Half Time Score Prediction: Pisa 1-0 Südtirol Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%