MATCH OVERVIEW
Suwon and Gimcheon Sangmu face off in a crucial K League 1 match that could significantly impact their standings. Suwon, currently struggling in the league, will be desperate for a win to boost their morale and points tally. Meanwhile, Gimcheon Sangmu, with a stronger start to the season, will aim to consolidate their position near the top of the table. The match will be held at Suwon World Cup Stadium, providing Suwon with a familiar setting to potentially turn their fortunes around.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Gimcheon Sangmu with an average of 1.93, indicating a higher probability of an away win. Suwon's odds stand at 3.64, suggesting they are the underdogs in this fixture. The draw is priced at 3.44, reflecting a moderate chance of a stalemate. Based on these odds, Gimcheon Sangmu is expected to dominate, but Suwon's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Suwon
- Current Form: Suwon has struggled this season, averaging only 0.43 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is commendable at 14.57 per match.
- Weaknesses: Suwon's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1 goal per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Suwon has found it challenging against Gimcheon Sangmu.
Gimcheon Sangmu
- Current Form: Gimcheon Sangmu has been impressive, scoring 1.43 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are strong, with 5.29 shots on target per game.
- Weaknesses: Despite their attacking prowess, they have a slightly higher expected goals against.
- Head-to-Head: Gimcheon Sangmu has a favorable record against Suwon.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Suwon
- Jun-su Ahn: Leading with 150.41 points, his performance will be crucial.
- Anderson Oliveira: A key player with 116.65 points and 1 goal this season.
Gimcheon Sangmu
- Dong-heon Kim: Top performer with 181.03 points.
- Dong-gyeong Lee: A significant threat with 3 goals this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Possession: Gimcheon Sangmu averages 47.14% possession, slightly higher than Suwon's 43.86%.
- Shots: Gimcheon Sangmu leads with 13.57 shots per game compared to Suwon's 9.14.
- Defensive Metrics: Suwon averages more interceptions at 51 per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Gimcheon Sangmu is likely to win, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Suwon's home advantage could make the match competitive, but Gimcheon Sangmu's offensive strength is expected to prevail. Key factors include Gimcheon Sangmu's higher goal-scoring rate and Suwon's defensive vulnerabilities. Final score prediction: Suwon 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu.