MATCH OVERVIEW
Mazatlán and Santos Laguna are gearing up for a pivotal Liga MX match that could shape their season trajectories. Mazatlán, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio de Mazatlán to gain an upper hand. Meanwhile, Santos Laguna aims to capitalize on their recent form to challenge the hosts. This match is crucial for both teams as they vie for better positions in the league standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a slight edge for Mazatlán with odds of 1.84, indicating a 54.35% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.67, translating to a 27.25% chance, while Santos Laguna's odds of 3.65 reflect a 27.40% probability of an away victory. These odds imply a competitive match, with Mazatlán favored to clinch a win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mazatlán
Mazatlán's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 1.25 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.08%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an expected goals (xG) of 1.37, supported by key players like Nicolás Benedetti, who has scored 3 goals this season. Defensively, Mazatlán concedes 1.75 goals per game, indicating vulnerabilities that Santos Laguna might exploit.
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna, on the other hand, averages 1.08 goals per match with a slightly lower possession rate of 43%. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.03, showcasing a need for improvement in attack. Carlos Acevedo's impressive performance with 238.52 points this season is a key asset for their defense, which also concedes 1.75 goals per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Mazatlán's home advantage could play a significant role, but Santos Laguna's resilience and tactical adaptability might counterbalance this.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mazatlán
- Nicolás Benedetti: With 3 goals this season, Benedetti is a crucial player for Mazatlán's attacking strategy.
- Samir Caetano: His defensive prowess, reflected in 157.48 points, is vital for maintaining stability at the back.
Santos Laguna
- Carlos Acevedo: Leading with 238.52 points, Acevedo's goalkeeping skills are essential for Santos Laguna's defense.
- Cristian Dájome: As the top scorer with 4 goals, Dájome's offensive contributions are key to Santos Laguna's success.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Mazatlán: Average 9.17 shots per game, with 3.25 on target.
- Santos Laguna: Average 8.5 shots per game, with 3.42 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Mazatlán: 40 interceptions and 4.58 clearances per game.
- Santos Laguna: 34.08 interceptions and 6.17 clearances per game.
Possession and Passing
- Mazatlán: 328.67 passes per game with a success rate of 269.67.
- Santos Laguna: 302.58 passes per game with a success rate of 245.75.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Mazatlán holds a slight advantage due to their home ground and slightly better offensive metrics. However, Santos Laguna's defensive capabilities, led by Acevedo, could prove challenging. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Mazatlán's ability to convert chances and Santos Laguna's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction
Mazatlán 2-1 Santos Laguna
Half Time Score Prediction
Mazatlán 1-0 Santos Laguna
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 54.35%
- Away Win: 27.40%
- Draw: 27.25%
- Both Teams to Score: 75%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 66.67%
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