Match Overview
St. Mirren and Kilmarnock face off in a pivotal Scottish Premiership match that could influence their standings as the season nears its climax. The SMISA Stadium will be the battleground for these two teams, each eager to secure a win and improve their league position.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with St. Mirren slightly favored at 2.31, indicating a 43.29% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.3, translating to a 30.30% chance, while Kilmarnock's odds of 3.11 reflect a 32.15% probability of an away victory. These odds highlight the competitive nature of the fixture, with no clear favorite.
Team Analysis
St. Mirren
- Current Form: St. Mirren has shown a mixed form this season, with a tendency to concede goals, averaging 1.63 per match.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is bolstered by a high dribble success rate (13.73) and a decent expected goals (xG) of 1.27.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with a high expected goals against (xGA) of 1.61.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, St. Mirren has had a balanced record against Kilmarnock, making this match unpredictable.
Kilmarnock
- Current Form: Kilmarnock has been slightly more consistent, with a better possession rate (46.67%) and a higher CompaScore rating (2008.38).
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are reflected in their higher shots per game (11.3) and a solid xG of 1.29.
- Weaknesses: Defensive lapses are a concern, with 1.6 goals conceded on average.
- Head-to-Head: Kilmarnock has had competitive encounters with St. Mirren, often resulting in closely fought matches.
Key Players Spotlight
St. Mirren
- Toyosi Olusanya: Leading the goal-scoring chart with 8 goals, Olusanya is crucial for St. Mirren's attacking prowess.
- Marcus Fraser: A key defensive figure, contributing significantly to interceptions and clearances.
Kilmarnock
- Bruce Anderson: Matching Olusanya with 8 goals, Anderson is vital for Kilmarnock's offensive strategy.
- Joe Wright: A standout performer in defense, his points tally reflects his importance to the team.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: St. Mirren averages 1.23 goals per game, while Kilmarnock is slightly behind with 1.13.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive records, with St. Mirren conceding 1.63 goals and Kilmarnock 1.6.
- Possession and Passing: Kilmarnock's higher possession (46.67%) and successful passes (227.53) give them a slight edge in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested, with both teams having strengths and weaknesses that could influence the outcome. St. Mirren's home advantage and Kilmarnock's slightly better form make predicting a winner challenging.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: St. Mirren's dribbling success and Kilmarnock's possession control could be decisive.
- Final Score Prediction: A 2-2 draw seems plausible, given both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities.
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1-1, reflecting a balanced first half.
- Both Teams to Score Probability: 70%, considering both teams' scoring records.
- Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%, given the attacking strengths of both sides.