MATCH OVERVIEW
Athletic Bilbao welcomes Deportivo Alavés to San Mamés Stadium in a crucial La Liga fixture. Scheduled for May 11th at 16:30, this match holds significant importance as both teams aim to secure vital points in the league standings. Athletic Bilbao, known for their robust home performances, will look to capitalize on their home advantage against a determined Alavés side.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Athletic Bilbao with a home win probability of approximately 59.5%, given their odds of 1.68. A draw stands at 26.3% with odds of 3.8, while an Alavés victory is less likely at 17.2% with odds of 5.8. These odds suggest a strong likelihood of a Bilbao win, but the potential for a draw should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Athletic Bilbao
- Current Form: Athletic Bilbao has shown consistency with an average of 1.52 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.79 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong defensive capabilities, effective dribbling, and high possession rates.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerability to dangerous own half losses.
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés averages 1.06 goals per match, with a higher concession rate of 1.39 goals.
- Strengths: Effective dueling and successful crosses.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession and higher yellow card count.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Athletic Bilbao has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Athletic Bilbao
- Oihan Sancet: Top scorer with 15 goals, crucial in offensive plays.
- Iñaki Williams: Key in creating scoring opportunities.
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Leading goal scorer with 12 goals, pivotal in Alavés' attack.
- Nahuel Tenaglia: Strong defensive presence.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Bilbao averages 11.97 shots per game, with 4.36 on target, while Alavés averages 9.48 shots, with 3.52 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Bilbao's defense is more robust, conceding fewer goals and making more interceptions.
- Possession: Bilbao holds a slight edge with 48.55% possession compared to Alavés' 45.58%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Athletic Bilbao is expected to leverage their home advantage and superior defensive record to secure a win. Key factors include Bilbao's ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Athletic Bilbao, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 57.58%, and the match is expected to have over 2.5 goals with a probability of 39.39%.