Match Overview
Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna are gearing up for a pivotal La Liga match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. With Athletic Bilbao aiming to solidify their position in the upper half of the table and Osasuna fighting to climb out of the mid-table, this match holds substantial importance.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest Athletic Bilbao is the favorite with odds of 1.52, translating to a 65.8% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 4.14, indicating a 24.2% chance, while Osasuna's odds of 6.4 reflect a 15.6% probability of an away victory. Given these odds, Athletic Bilbao is expected to dominate, but Osasuna's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
Team Analysis
Athletic Bilbao
- Current Form: Athletic Bilbao has shown consistency with 28 matches played, maintaining a solid form with a goal average of 1.64 per game.
- Strengths: Their defensive prowess is evident with only 0.86 goals conceded per match and a high interception rate of 37.86.
- Weaknesses: Possession remains a challenge at 48.86%, which could be exploited by Osasuna.
Osasuna
- Current Form: Osasuna has played 27 matches, with a slightly lower goal average of 1.22.
- Strengths: Their ability to engage in duels is notable, with 207.26 duels per match and a successful rate of 101.93.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are apparent with 1.44 goals conceded per game.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Athletic Bilbao has historically had the upper hand in this fixture, but Osasuna's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
Tactical Approaches
Athletic Bilbao is likely to focus on their defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks, while Osasuna may aim to leverage their dueling strength and capitalize on set-pieces.
Key Players Spotlight
Athletic Bilbao
- Oihan Sancet: With 13 goals this season, Sancet is a key offensive threat.
- Iñaki Williams: His pace and skill have contributed 5 goals, making him a crucial player.
Osasuna
- Ante Budimir: Leading the scoring charts with 15 goals, Budimir is Osasuna's main attacking force.
- Lucas Torró: His midfield presence and 3 goals add depth to Osasuna's play.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Athletic Bilbao averages 12.36 shots per game, with 4.46 on target, while Osasuna averages 9.59 shots, with 3.33 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Athletic Bilbao's expected goals against is 0.91, showcasing their defensive strength compared to Osasuna's 1.35.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Athletic Bilbao is favored to win, with their defensive capabilities and home advantage being key factors. Osasuna's resilience and Budimir's form could make it a competitive match.
Final Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna Half Time Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna Both Teams to Score Probability: 64% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%