Girona enters this match with a slight edge, as reflected in the average odds of 1.85 for a home win. The probability of Girona securing a victory stands at approximately 54%, while a draw is pegged at 28%, and an away win for Deportivo Alavés at 24%. These odds suggest a competitive match, with Girona favored to leverage their home advantage.
Girona's form this season has been commendable, with a strong offensive showing. They average 1.29 goals per match and maintain a possession rate of 58%, indicating their ability to control the game. Their defense, however, has been less robust, conceding 1.46 goals per match. Deportivo Alavés, on the other hand, has shown resilience, with a slightly lower goal average of 1.14 but a comparable defensive record, conceding 1.5 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics reveal a balanced rivalry, with both teams having their moments of dominance. Girona's tactical approach often involves high possession and quick transitions, while Deportivo Alavés focuses on counter-attacks and solid defensive formations.
Key players such as Cristhian Stuani for Girona and Kike García for Deportivo Alavés will be crucial in this matchup. Stuani, with 6 goals this season, is a constant threat in the attacking third, while García's 11 goals make him a formidable opponent.
Statistically, Girona holds an advantage in offensive metrics, with higher shots on target and successful dribbles. However, Deportivo Alavés excels in defensive metrics, including interceptions and clearances, which could prove vital in neutralizing Girona's attacks.
In conclusion, Girona's home advantage and offensive capabilities make them slight favorites, but Deportivo Alavés' defensive strength and counter-attacking potential cannot be underestimated. Expect a closely contested match with Girona likely edging out a narrow victory.