MATCH OVERVIEW
Alanyaspor and Samsunspor are gearing up for a pivotal Turkey Super League match that could shape their season trajectories. Scheduled for April 21, 2025, at 17:00 GMT, this clash at Alanyaspor's home ground is crucial for both teams. Alanyaspor, currently mid-table, needs a win to boost their chances of climbing the league standings. Samsunspor, on the other hand, is eyeing a top-tier finish and will be eager to secure three points away from home.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are quite balanced, with Alanyaspor at 2.4, a draw at 2.76, and Samsunspor at 2.83. This suggests a closely contested match, with Alanyaspor having a slight edge due to home advantage. The probability distribution indicates:
- Home win: 41.67%
- Draw: 36.23%
- Away win: 35.34% Given these odds, a draw seems a plausible outcome, but Alanyaspor's home advantage could tilt the scales in their favor.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.1 goals per match and a possession rate of 51%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.48 goals per game. However, their offensive play, marked by 11 shots per game and a successful dribble rate of 11.55, shows promise.
Samsunspor
Samsunspor has been slightly more consistent, averaging 1.5 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 48.1%. Their defense is relatively stronger, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Samsunspor's offensive metrics, including 4.1 shots on target per game, highlight their attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with Alanyaspor often leveraging their home advantage. However, Samsunspor's current form suggests they could challenge this trend.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Alanyaspor
- Sergio Córdova: With 8 goals this season, Córdova is Alanyaspor's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Florent Hadergjonaj: Contributing both defensively and offensively, Hadergjonaj's versatility is crucial.
Samsunspor
- Marius Mouandilmadji: Leading the scoring charts with 8 goals, Mouandilmadji is a significant threat.
- Carlo Holse: With 7 goals, Holse's form will be vital for Samsunspor's attacking strategy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Alanyaspor averages 11 shots per game, with 3.34 on target.
- Samsunspor averages 10.97 shots per game, with 4.1 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Alanyaspor concedes 1.48 goals per game, while Samsunspor concedes 1.2.
- Samsunspor's interceptions per game (42.3) are higher than Alanyaspor's (36.1), indicating a more proactive defense.
Tactical Insights
Alanyaspor's possession-based approach contrasts with Samsunspor's counter-attacking style, which could lead to an intriguing tactical battle.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested. Alanyaspor's home advantage and Samsunspor's strong form suggest a competitive game. Key factors such as Alanyaspor's defensive vulnerabilities and Samsunspor's attacking efficiency will play a crucial role.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Alanyaspor 1-1 Samsunspor
- Half Time: Alanyaspor 0-0 Samsunspor
Match-Winning Factors
- Alanyaspor's ability to capitalize on home advantage.
- Samsunspor's efficient attacking play.
In conclusion, while a draw seems likely, both teams have the potential to edge out a win if they exploit their strengths effectively.