MATCH OVERVIEW
Padova and Venezia are set to clash in a highly anticipated Serie B match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. With Venezia holding the upper hand in the odds, Padova will need to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win. The match will take place at Padova's home stadium on November 22, 2025, at 16:15.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 3.71 for Padova to win, 3.28 for a draw, and 1.91 for Venezia to claim victory. These odds suggest a 26.9% probability for a Padova win, a 30.5% chance for a draw, and a 52.4% likelihood of a Venezia victory. Given these probabilities, Venezia is the clear favorite, but Padova's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Padova
- Current Form: Padova has played 12 matches this season, with a moderate performance in terms of goals and possession.
- Strengths: Padova's ability to score in 58.33% of their matches indicates a solid offensive presence.
- Weaknesses: Their possession rate of 46.67% suggests they may struggle to control the game against a stronger Venezia side.
Venezia
- Current Form: Venezia has also played 12 matches, showing a stronger offensive capability with 1.67 goals per game.
- Strengths: Venezia's possession rate of 60.75% and higher expected goals (1.98) highlight their attacking prowess.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive strength, Venezia's defense will need to be vigilant against Padova's counter-attacks.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Padova
- Mattia Bortolussi: With 6 goals this season, Bortolussi is Padova's key offensive player.
- Filippo Sgarbi: His defensive contributions will be crucial in containing Venezia's attack.
Venezia
- John Yeboah: Scoring 3 goals, Yeboah is a significant threat in Venezia's forward line.
- Filip Stanković: His performance in goal will be vital in maintaining Venezia's defensive stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Venezia averages 15.75 shots per game compared to Padova's 9.42, indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Padova's interceptions (44.75) could be key in disrupting Venezia's possession.
- Possession and Passing: Venezia's higher possession and successful passes suggest they will dominate the midfield.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Venezia is likely to win, given their superior offensive and possession statistics. However, Padova's home advantage and ability to score could lead to a competitive match.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: Venezia's possession and offensive strength, Padova's counter-attacking potential.
- Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Venezia.
- Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1 in favor of Venezia.
- Probability for Both Teams to Score: 58.33%
- Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 66.67%