MATCH OVERVIEW
Changchun Yatai and Tianjin Tigers are set to face off in a pivotal Super League - China match that could significantly impact their standings this season. With both teams having played 12 matches so far, they are eager to secure a win to boost their position in the league table. The match will be held at Changchun Yatai's home stadium, providing them with a slight edge in terms of familiarity and support.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Tianjin Tigers slightly favored to win at 2.18 compared to Changchun Yatai's 2.93. The draw is priced at 3.56, indicating a balanced contest. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 34% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 38% for an away win. Given these figures, Tianjin Tigers are expected to have a marginal advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai's season has been marked by a mixed form, with an average of 0.83 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.25%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.92 goals per game. However, they have shown resilience in attack with a successful dribble rate of 11.5 per match.
Tianjin Tigers
Tianjin Tigers have demonstrated stronger offensive capabilities, averaging 1.5 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 50.17%. Their defense is slightly more robust, conceding 1.58 goals per game. Their ability to create chances is evident with 5.33 shots on target per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Tianjin Tigers have had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this match. Changchun Yatai will need to capitalize on their home advantage to counteract this.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Changchun Yatai
- Long Tan: Leading the scoring charts for Yatai with 5 goals, his performance will be crucial.
- Robert Beric: With 2 goals, Beric's experience can be pivotal in breaking down the Tigers' defense.
Tianjin Tigers
- Alberto Quiles: A key player with 8 goals this season, Quiles is a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Xadas: His creativity and 3 goals make him a vital component of the Tigers' offensive strategy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Changchun Yatai: Average 8.33 shots per match, with 3.08 on target.
- Tianjin Tigers: Average 13.25 shots per match, with 5.33 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Changchun Yatai: Concede 1.92 goals per match, with 10.5 clearances.
- Tianjin Tigers: Concede 1.58 goals per match, with 7.75 clearances.
Possession and Passing
- Changchun Yatai: 346.5 passes per match, with a success rate of 78%.
- Tianjin Tigers: 384.5 passes per match, with a success rate of 81%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Tianjin Tigers are likely to edge out Changchun Yatai due to their superior offensive capabilities and recent form. Key factors such as Quiles' goal-scoring prowess and the Tigers' ability to maintain possession could be decisive.
Final Score Prediction
Tianjin Tigers 2 - 1 Changchun Yatai
Half Time Score Prediction
Tianjin Tigers 1 - 0 Changchun Yatai
Match-Winning Factors
- Tianjin Tigers' Offensive Strength: Quiles and Xadas are expected to lead the charge.
- Changchun Yatai's Home Advantage: Could play a role in their defensive resilience.
In conclusion, while Changchun Yatai will put up a strong fight, Tianjin Tigers' attacking depth and form make them favorites to secure a victory.