MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Super League match between Qingdao Hainiu and Beijing Guoan is poised to be a thrilling encounter. Beijing Guoan, currently one of the top contenders in the league, will be looking to extend their lead, while Qingdao Hainiu aims to leverage their home advantage to secure a vital win. The match, scheduled for May 17, 2025, at 11:35 AM, will take place at Qingdao's home stadium, setting the stage for an intense battle.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Beijing Guoan with an average of 1.55, indicating a strong probability of an away win. Qingdao Hainiu, with odds of 5.07, are seen as the underdogs, while the draw is priced at 4.2. This suggests a 64.5% chance for Beijing Guoan to win, a 19.8% chance for a draw, and a 15.7% chance for Qingdao Hainiu to pull off an upset.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Qingdao Hainiu
- Current Form: Qingdao Hainiu has struggled this season, averaging 1 goal per match and conceding 1.5.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is notable, with 13.58 successful dribbles per game.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an expected goals against of 2.05.
Beijing Guoan
- Current Form: Beijing Guoan has been impressive, scoring 2.45 goals per match and maintaining a high possession rate of 62.55%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are strong, with 5.64 shots on target per game.
- Weaknesses: Despite their success, they have a slightly higher rate of dangerous own half losses.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Beijing Guoan has dominated this fixture, often outscoring Qingdao Hainiu. Their tactical approach focuses on high possession and quick transitions, which could be pivotal in this match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Qingdao Hainiu
- Wellington Silva: Leading scorer with 6 goals, Silva's performance will be crucial.
- Elvis Saric: A key midfielder, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Beijing Guoan
- Fabio Abreu: Top scorer with 8 goals, his attacking prowess is a major threat.
- Jiaqi Han: A standout performer with a high CompaScore rating, vital in defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Qingdao Hainiu: Average 8.92 shots per game, with 2.92 on target.
- Beijing Guoan: Average 13.82 shots per game, with 5.64 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Qingdao Hainiu: Concede 1.5 goals per game, with 43.83 interceptions.
- Beijing Guoan: Concede 1.09 goals per game, with 37.36 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Qingdao Hainiu: 47% possession, 356.17 passes per game.
- Beijing Guoan: 62.55% possession, 556.09 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Beijing Guoan is likely to dominate the match, leveraging their superior offensive and possession statistics. Key factors include their ability to maintain high possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Qingdao Hainiu will need to focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks to challenge Beijing Guoan.
Final Score Prediction
Beijing Guoan is expected to win with a scoreline of 3-1, reflecting their offensive strength and Qingdao Hainiu's defensive challenges. The half-time score might be 1-0 in favor of Beijing Guoan, setting the tone for the second half.