MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Hansa Rostock and Erzgebirge Aue is set to be a captivating encounter. Both teams are in the hunt for valuable points that could influence their standings in the league. The match will take place at the Ostseestadion, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 GMT on March 12, 2025. Hansa Rostock, playing at home, will be keen to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Erzgebirge Aue will aim to challenge the hosts and secure a positive result.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Hansa Rostock favored at 2.02, a draw at 2.89, and Erzgebirge Aue at 3.78. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 49.5% for a Hansa Rostock win, 34.6% for a draw, and 26.5% for an Erzgebirge Aue victory. The odds indicate a slight edge for the home team, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Hansa Rostock
- Current Form & Statistics: Hansa Rostock has shown a balanced performance this season with an average of 1.35 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.77%. Their defensive solidity is reflected in their average of 1.23 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: The team excels in duels, averaging 222.42 per match, and has a strong offensive rating of 409.44. However, their defense can be vulnerable, as indicated by their expected goals against of 1.25.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Hansa Rostock has had the upper hand in recent encounters against Erzgebirge Aue, which could boost their confidence.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Current Form & Statistics: Erzgebirge Aue averages 1.48 goals per match and maintains a possession rate of 50.64%. They have a slightly higher average of goals conceded at 1.52 per game.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: The team is proficient in passing, with an average of 414.2 passes per match, and has a commendable offensive rating of 362.22. Their defense, however, is a concern with an expected goals against of 1.69.
- Head-to-Head: Erzgebirge Aue will need to overcome their recent struggles against Hansa Rostock to secure a favorable result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Hansa Rostock
- Sigurd Haugen: A key player for Hansa Rostock, Haugen has scored 8 goals this season, making him a crucial part of their attacking setup.
- Ahmet Gürleyen: With 125.15 points, Gürleyen is a standout performer, contributing significantly to both defense and attack.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Marcel Bär: Leading the scoring charts for Aue with 10 goals, Bär is a vital player who can change the course of the game.
- Marvin Stefaniak: With 6 goals and 111.69 points, Stefaniak's creativity and goal-scoring ability are essential for Aue's success.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Hansa Rostock averages 12.96 shots per game, with 4.85 on target, while Erzgebirge Aue averages 10.64 shots, with 3.88 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Hansa Rostock's defense is slightly more robust, with 48.62 interceptions per match compared to Aue's 42.56.
- Possession & Passing: Both teams have similar possession stats, but Aue edges out in passing accuracy with 335.68 successful passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hansa Rostock appears to have a slight advantage, especially playing at home. Key factors such as their superior duel success and offensive capabilities could be decisive. However, Erzgebirge Aue's attacking threat, led by Marcel Bär, cannot be underestimated. A closely contested match is expected, with Hansa Rostock likely to edge out a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Hansa Rostock 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue Half Time Score Prediction: Hansa Rostock 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 46.15%