MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Ulm and Wehen Wiesbaden is set to be a captivating encounter, with both teams eager to secure a victory. Ulm, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage against a formidable Wehen Wiesbaden side. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table and strengthen their positions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Wehen Wiesbaden slightly favored to win at 2.3, compared to Ulm's 2.7. The draw is priced at 3.6, indicating a competitive match-up. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 37% for a Wehen Wiesbaden win, 33% for an Ulm victory, and 30% for a draw. Based on these odds, Wehen Wiesbaden is expected to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ulm
- Current Form & Statistics: Ulm has played 16 matches this season, with a high percentage of games featuring over 2.5 goals (87.5%) and both teams scoring (75%). They average 1.38 goals per match but concede 2.5 goals, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Ulm's offensive play is bolstered by their dribbling success (12.19 per match) and possession (51%). However, their defense is a concern, with a high expected goals against (2.15).
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Ulm will need to improve defensively to counter Wehen Wiesbaden's attacking threats.
Wehen Wiesbaden
- Current Form & Statistics: Wehen Wiesbaden has played 18 matches, with a lower percentage of games featuring over 2.5 goals (44.44%) and both teams scoring (44.44%). They average 1.33 goals per match and concede 1.11 goals, indicating a more balanced approach.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Their strengths lie in their defensive solidity and ability to control games with a high number of successful passes (315.06 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Wehen Wiesbaden's defensive strength could be pivotal against Ulm's attacking play.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Ulm: Elias Löder, with 5 goals this season, is a key player for Ulm. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial.
- Wehen Wiesbaden: Nikolas Agrafiotis, leading with 6 goals, will be a significant threat to Ulm's defense.
- Key Matchups: The battle between Löder and Wehen Wiesbaden's defense, particularly Jordy Gillekens, will be one to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Ulm averages 10.94 shots per match, while Wehen Wiesbaden averages 13.28, indicating a potential for a high number of goal-scoring opportunities.
- Defensive Metrics: Wehen Wiesbaden's lower goals conceded (1.11) compared to Ulm's (2.5) suggests a defensive advantage.
- Possession & Passing: Ulm's possession (51%) and successful passes (330.38) are slightly higher than Wehen Wiesbaden's, indicating their ability to control the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Wehen Wiesbaden appears to have a slight edge due to their defensive solidity and balanced play. However, Ulm's attacking prowess, especially at home, cannot be underestimated. Key factors such as Ulm's ability to break down Wehen Wiesbaden's defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction: Ulm 1-2 Wehen Wiesbaden Half Time Score Prediction: Ulm 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%
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