MATCH OVERVIEW
Sandhausen and Viktoria Köln are set to clash in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for their playoff aspirations. With the season nearing its end, both teams are eager to secure a victory that could propel them into a favorable position. The match will be held at Sandhausen's home stadium, providing them with a slight edge as they aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Sandhausen's odds at 2.68, Viktoria Köln at 2.43, and a draw at 3.57. These odds indicate a slight advantage for the away team, Viktoria Köln, but the probability of each outcome remains relatively balanced:
- Home Win: 37.31%
- Draw: 28.01%
- Away Win: 41.15%
Given these probabilities, Viktoria Köln appears to have a marginal edge, but Sandhausen's home advantage could play a crucial role in the final outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Sandhausen
Sandhausen has shown resilience throughout the season, with an average of 1.31 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.56%. Their defensive statistics, including 1.75 conceded goals per game, highlight areas for improvement. However, their offensive capabilities, driven by Dominic Baumann's 12 goals, remain a key strength.
Viktoria Köln
Viktoria Köln boasts a slightly higher average of 1.49 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.38%. Their defense has been more robust, conceding only 1.3 goals per game. Lex-Tyger Lobinger, with 15 goals, is a standout performer, providing a significant threat to Sandhausen's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with neither side dominating. This balance suggests that the upcoming match could be closely fought, with tactical adjustments likely to play a decisive role.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Sandhausen
- Dominic Baumann: With 12 goals this season, Baumann is Sandhausen's leading scorer and a critical player in their attacking lineup.
- Jakob Lewald: His defensive contributions have been vital, with a CompaScore rating of 124.19.
Viktoria Köln
- Lex-Tyger Lobinger: Lobinger's 15 goals make him a formidable opponent, capable of turning the tide in Viktoria Köln's favor.
- Dudu: His overall performance, reflected in a CompaScore rating of 130.6, underscores his importance to the team.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Sandhausen averages 11.81 shots per game, with 4.25 on target.
- Viktoria Köln averages 10.22 shots per game, with 4.32 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Sandhausen's defense faces 1.75 goals against per match, while Viktoria Köln concedes 1.3.
- Viktoria Köln's interceptions average 40.35, slightly lower than Sandhausen's 44.33.
Possession and Passing
- Viktoria Köln's possession rate of 52.38% gives them a slight edge over Sandhausen's 48.56%.
- Both teams exhibit strong passing capabilities, with Viktoria Köln averaging 413.92 passes per game compared to Sandhausen's 379.67.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Viktoria Köln holds a slight advantage, particularly with their superior defensive record and goal-scoring prowess. However, Sandhausen's home advantage and Baumann's scoring ability could level the playing field.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Viktoria Köln's defensive solidity and Lobinger's goal-scoring threat.
- Sandhausen's home advantage and Baumann's impact in attack.
Final Score Prediction
Given the balanced nature of the teams, a narrow victory for Viktoria Köln seems plausible, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 in their favor.