MATCH OVERVIEW
Bologna and Genoa are gearing up for an exciting Serie A clash at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Scheduled for September 21, 2025, at 13:00 UTC, this match holds significant importance for both teams as they seek to improve their standings early in the season. Bologna, with a home advantage, will aim to capitalize on their slightly better form, while Genoa is determined to break their winless streak.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Bologna as the favorites with odds of 1.69, translating to a probability of approximately 59.2% for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.53, indicating a 28.3% chance, while Genoa's odds of 4.59 reflect a 21.8% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Bologna is expected to have the upper hand, but the possibility of a draw remains a viable outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bologna
Bologna's current form shows a balanced approach with an average of 0.5 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game. Their possession rate stands at 47.5%, and they have been effective in duels, winning 103.5 on average. However, their offensive output needs improvement, as they have only managed 2 shots on target per game.
Genoa
Genoa, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, failing to score in their opening matches. Their defensive stats are similar to Bologna's, with 0.5 goals conceded per match. Genoa's possession rate is slightly higher at 48.5%, and they have shown resilience in interceptions, averaging 45.5 per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Bologna has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Genoa's defensive capabilities could pose a challenge. Both teams have shown similar defensive strengths, making this match potentially low-scoring.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bologna
- Riccardo Orsolini: With 375.77 points this season, Orsolini is Bologna's key player, having scored 1 goal.
- Lukasz Skorupski: The goalkeeper has been crucial with 260.72 points, ensuring a strong defensive line.
Genoa
- Patrizio Masini: Leading Genoa with 208.2 points, Masini's performance will be vital in midfield.
- Brooke Norton-Cuffy: With 181.7 points, Norton-Cuffy's defensive skills will be key to Genoa's strategy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Bologna averages 10 shots per game, with 2 on target, while Genoa averages 7 shots, also with 2 on target.
- Bologna's expected goals (xG) stand at 0.72, slightly higher than Genoa's 0.6.
Defensive Metrics
- Both teams have conceded 0.5 goals per match, showcasing strong defensive setups.
- Genoa leads in interceptions with 45.5 compared to Bologna's 26.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Bologna is likely to edge out Genoa, given their home advantage and slightly better form. Key factors include Bologna's ability to convert possession into goals and Genoa's defensive resilience. A low-scoring match is expected, with Bologna potentially securing a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Bologna 1-0 Genoa Half Time Score Prediction: Bologna 0-0 Genoa Probability for Both Teams to Score: 20% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 15%
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