In this pivotal Primera División clash, Estudiantes will host Newell's Old Boys at the Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. With the season progressing, both teams are eager to secure valuable points to bolster their positions in the league standings. Estudiantes, currently showing a strong home form, will look to capitalize on their attacking prowess, while Newell's Old Boys aim to improve their away record.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong favor towards Estudiantes with odds of 1.57, indicating a 63.7% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.7, translating to a 27% chance, while Newell's Old Boys are considered underdogs with odds of 5.72, giving them a 17.5% probability of winning. Based on these odds, Estudiantes are expected to dominate, but the potential for a draw remains a viable outcome.
Team Analysis
Estudiantes
- Current Form: Estudiantes have been consistent, averaging 1.88 goals per match and conceding only 0.88.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with 11.75 shots per game and a solid defense conceding less than a goal per match.
- Weaknesses: Possession is slightly below average at 48%, which could be exploited by a possession-dominant team.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Estudiantes have had the upper hand in recent encounters against Newell's Old Boys.
Newell's Old Boys
- Current Form: Struggling offensively with only 0.5 goals per match, but maintaining a decent possession rate of 54.38%.
- Strengths: High possession and passing accuracy, with 326.88 successful passes per game.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense, conceding 1.5 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Newell's Old Boys have found it challenging to secure wins against Estudiantes in past meetings.
Key Players Spotlight
- Estudiantes: Santiago Ascacíbar, with 4 goals this season, is a key offensive threat. His ability to find the net could be crucial.
- Newell's Old Boys: Saúl Salcedo, a standout performer with 228.11 points, will be vital in defense to counter Estudiantes' attacks.
- Matchup: The battle between Ascacíbar and Salcedo could be decisive in determining the match's outcome.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Estudiantes average 4.88 shots on target per game, compared to Newell's 4.5.
- Defensive Metrics: Estudiantes' defense is more robust, with only 0.88 goals conceded per match versus Newell's 1.5.
- Possession and Passing: Newell's Old Boys lead in possession and passing accuracy, which could help control the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Estudiantes are favored to win this match. Their superior offensive capabilities and solid defense provide them with a significant edge. However, Newell's Old Boys' possession game could pose challenges if they capitalize on their chances.
Final Score Prediction: Estudiantes 2-1 Newell's Old Boys Potential Match-Winning Factors: Estudiantes' attacking efficiency and defensive solidity, alongside key performances from players like Ascacíbar.
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