Match Overview
The clash between Newell's Old Boys and Belgrano is set to be a pivotal moment in the Primera División season. Both teams are looking to capitalize on this opportunity to gain momentum and improve their standings. The Estadio Marcelo Bielsa will be the stage for this encounter, where Newell's Old Boys will aim to leverage their home advantage.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair. Newell's Old Boys are slightly favored with odds of 2.32, translating to a 43.1% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 3.05, indicating a 32.8% chance, while Belgrano's odds of 3.06 give them a 32.7% probability of victory. The odds suggest a tight match, with Newell's Old Boys having a slight edge.
Team Analysis
Newell's Old Boys
- Current Form: Newell's Old Boys have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.29 goals per match this season.
- Strengths: High possession rate (56.86%) and strong passing accuracy with 345.29 successful passes per game.
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and a high average of 1.57 goals conceded per match.
Belgrano
- Current Form: Belgrano have shown better offensive capabilities, averaging 0.86 goals per match.
- Strengths: Effective in interceptions (37.71 per match) and a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.32.
- Weaknesses: Concede an average of 1.86 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with neither side dominating the other. This trend is expected to continue given their current form and statistics.
Tactical Approaches
Newell's Old Boys are likely to focus on maintaining possession and controlling the midfield, while Belgrano may look to exploit counter-attacking opportunities given their higher xG and interception rates.
Key Players Spotlight
Newell's Old Boys
- Saúl Salcedo: Leading the team with 242.53 points, his defensive contributions will be crucial.
- Éver Banega: A key playmaker with 163.32 points and 1 goal this season.
Belgrano
- Nicolás Fernández: Top scorer with 3 goals, his attacking prowess will be vital.
- Tobias Ostchega: Strong defensive presence with 192.41 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Newell's Old Boys average 12.43 shots per game, while Belgrano average 10.
- Defensive Metrics: Newell's Old Boys have a higher average of successful duels (111.14) compared to Belgrano (92).
- Possession and Passing: Newell's Old Boys dominate possession with 56.86% and have a higher passing accuracy.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Newell's Old Boys have a slight edge due to their home advantage and superior possession stats. However, Belgrano's better goal-scoring record and xG suggest they could pose a significant threat. The match-winning factors will likely include Newell's ability to convert possession into goals and Belgrano's counter-attacking efficiency. A closely fought match is expected, with a potential final score of 1-1.