MATCH OVERVIEW
Bahia and Vitória are set to face off in a crucial Brazil Série A match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings. Bahia, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage at the Arena Fonte Nova, while Vitória aims to upset their rivals and gain valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Bahia with a 1.64 chance of winning, indicating a 60.98% probability of a home victory. The draw is priced at 3.33, translating to a 30.03% chance, while Vitória's odds of 4.93 suggest a 20.28% probability of an away win. Based on these odds, Bahia is expected to dominate, but Vitória's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bahia has shown a balanced form this season, with a possession rate of 52% and an average of 1 goal per match. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 1 conceded goal per game. Vitória, on the other hand, has a slightly lower possession rate of 47.57% but has been more prolific in matches with over 2.5 goals, achieving this in 42.86% of their games.
Head-to-head, Bahia's tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession and creating opportunities through dribbles and successful passes, while Vitória relies on counter-attacks and set-pieces.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bahia's Luciano Juba and Erick Pulga are key players to watch, with impressive CompaScore ratings of 225.93 and 216.13, respectively. Vitória's Lucas Arcanjo stands out with a rating of 291.28, making him a crucial figure in their defensive setup.
Erick and Cauly have each scored 1 goal for Bahia, while Matheuzinho has netted 2 goals for Vitória, making him a significant threat in the attacking third.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Bahia's offensive metrics show an average of 10.43 shots per game, with 3.29 on target, while Vitória averages 10.14 shots with 3.86 on target. Defensively, Bahia's interceptions and clearances are slightly higher, indicating a robust defensive line.
Vitória's higher percentage of both teams to score (71.43%) suggests a vulnerability in defense but also an ability to find the net consistently.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the data, Bahia is likely to secure a victory, leveraging their home advantage and superior possession stats. Key factors such as Bahia's successful dribbles and Vitória's defensive weaknesses could be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Bahia 2-1 Vitória Half Time Score Prediction: Bahia 1-0 Vitória Probability of Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 55%