MATCH OVERVIEW
Ceará and Sport Recife are set to face off in a crucial Brazil Série A match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Ceará, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to secure a victory. Sport Recife, on the other hand, will aim to overcome their away disadvantage and snatch valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Ceará, with odds of 1.89 for a home win, translating to a probability of approximately 52.9%. The draw is priced at 3.1, indicating a 32.3% chance, while Sport Recife's odds of 3.88 suggest a 25.8% probability of an away win. These odds reflect Ceará's home advantage and slightly better form.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ceará
Ceará's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 1.29 goals per match and a possession rate of 40.43%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. However, their offensive output needs improvement, as indicated by their expected goals of 0.98.
Sport Recife
Sport Recife has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.57 goals per match. Their possession rate of 49% suggests they can control the game but have difficulty converting possession into goals. Defensively, they concede 1.43 goals per game, which is a concern against Ceará's attacking threats.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Ceará has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. Sport Recife will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ceará
Pedro Raul has been a standout performer for Ceará, scoring 4 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial in this match.
Sport Recife
Hereda has been a key player for Sport Recife, contributing significantly to their defensive efforts. His performance will be vital in keeping Ceará's attackers at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Ceará averages 10 shots per game, with 3.86 on target.
- Sport Recife averages 12.29 shots per game, with 3.57 on target.
- Ceará's expected goals against is 1.49, while Sport Recife's is 1.77.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Ceará is likely to edge out Sport Recife, given their home advantage and slightly better form. Key factors include Pedro Raul's goal-scoring ability and Ceará's defensive solidity. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Ceará, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams have a 57.14% chance of scoring, and there's a 42.86% probability of over 2.5 goals.