MATCH OVERVIEW
The Veikkausliiga match between Jaro and Ilves is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure a victory. Jaro, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Ilves. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table and strengthen their positions in the Finnish top flight.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Ilves, with an average of 1.58 for an away win, indicating a 63.29% probability. Jaro's odds stand at 4.94, translating to a 20.24% chance of winning, while the draw is priced at 4.00, suggesting a 25% probability. These odds reflect Ilves' stronger form and higher league standing, making them the expected victors.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Jaro
Jaro's season has been a mixed bag, with an average of 1.13 goals per match and a possession rate of 46%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.6 goals per game. However, their offensive play shows promise with a 53.33% over 2.5 goals rate.
Ilves
Ilves boasts a more impressive record, averaging 2.2 goals per match and maintaining 56.53% possession. Their defense is solid, conceding only 1.13 goals per game. Ilves' attacking prowess is evident with a 73.33% over 2.5 goals rate.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Ilves has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Jaro. Their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and quick transitions, has proven effective against Jaro's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Jaro
Kerfala Cissoko is Jaro's standout performer, with 10 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial for Jaro's chances.
Ilves
Marius Söderbäck and Roope Riski have been key for Ilves, each scoring 4 goals. Their form and ability to exploit defensive gaps will be vital.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Jaro: 10.53 shots per game, 3.8 on target
- Ilves: 14.93 shots per game, 5.93 on target
Defensive Metrics
- Jaro: 1.6 goals conceded per game
- Ilves: 1.13 goals conceded per game
Possession and Passing
- Jaro: 356.07 passes per game, 277.13 successful
- Ilves: 511.6 passes per game, 441.2 successful
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Ilves is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, given their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Jaro will need to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces to challenge Ilves. The expected outcome is an Ilves victory, with a predicted final score of 2-1 in favor of the visitors.
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