MATCH OVERVIEW
Toulouse and Auxerre face off in a Ligue 1 showdown that could significantly impact their respective campaigns. Toulouse, currently enjoying a decent run, will look to leverage their home ground advantage at the Stadium de Toulouse. Meanwhile, Auxerre, despite being the underdogs, will aim to exploit any weaknesses in the Toulouse lineup.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 1.67 for a Toulouse win, 3.37 for a draw, and 4.81 for an Auxerre victory. These odds suggest a 59.9% probability of a home win, a 29.7% chance of a draw, and a 20.8% likelihood of an away win. Given these figures, Toulouse is favored to secure the three points, but Auxerre's potential to cause an upset cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Toulouse
- Current Form: Toulouse has shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 1.61 goals per match and a possession rate of 41.72%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive play with 11.06 shots per game and a high dribble success rate of 14.44.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.28 goals conceded per match.
Auxerre
- Current Form: Auxerre has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.78 goals per game.
- Strengths: Slightly better possession at 45.17% and a higher number of successful passes.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, conceding 1.56 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Toulouse has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Auxerre has occasionally pulled off surprising results.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Toulouse
- Yann Gboho & Frank Magri: Both have scored 5 goals this season, crucial for Toulouse's attacking prowess.
- Charlie Cresswell: A defensive stalwart with 288.98 points this season.
Auxerre
- Lassine Sinayoko: Leading scorer with 6 goals, pivotal for Auxerre's attack.
- Danny Namaso: A key player with 194.85 points, contributing significantly to the team's efforts.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Toulouse: Average 1.53 expected goals per match, indicating a strong offensive setup.
- Auxerre: Average 1.2 expected goals, showing room for improvement in attack.
- Defensive Comparison: Toulouse's expected goals against is slightly better at 1.31 compared to Auxerre's 1.35.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Toulouse is expected to dominate the match, leveraging their home advantage and superior offensive capabilities. Key factors include Toulouse's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity. Auxerre will need to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces to challenge Toulouse.
Final Score Prediction: Toulouse 2-1 Auxerre Half Time Score Prediction: Toulouse 1-0 Auxerre Both Teams to Score Probability: 44.44% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55.56%
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