MATCH OVERVIEW
Energie Cottbus will host Alemannia Aachen in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could shape the trajectory of their season. With both teams having played 8 matches so far, they are eager to secure a win to bolster their standings. The match will take place at the Stadion der Freundschaft, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, on October 4, 2025, at 14:30.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a slight edge for Energie Cottbus with a home win priced at 2.02, while a draw stands at 3.48 and an away win for Alemannia Aachen at 3.21. This translates to a probability of approximately 49.5% for a Cottbus victory, 28.7% for a draw, and 31.1% for an Aachen win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Cottbus having a marginal advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Energie Cottbus has shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 2.25 goals per match and maintaining a high expected goals rate of 2.51. Their defense, conceding 1.38 goals per game, will need to tighten against Aachen's attack. Alemannia Aachen, on the other hand, averages 1.88 goals per match but has a higher concession rate of 2 goals per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities.
Head-to-head statistics favor Cottbus slightly, with their offensive prowess likely to challenge Aachen's defense. Both teams have similar possession rates, around 47.75%, suggesting a balanced midfield battle.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Tolcay Cigerci and Erik Engelhardt are key figures for Cottbus, with Cigerci scoring 5 goals this season. Aachen's Lars Gindorf, with 6 goals, will be crucial in their attacking strategy. The matchup between Cigerci and Gindorf could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Cottbus excels in shots on target, averaging 6.75 per game, compared to Aachen's 3.88. This offensive edge could be pivotal. Defensively, Aachen's higher interception rate of 41.63 suggests they might disrupt Cottbus's attacking flow.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the data, Energie Cottbus is favored to win, leveraging their offensive strength and home advantage. Key factors include Cigerci's form and Cottbus's ability to convert chances. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Cottbus, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 62.5%, and the match could see over 2.5 goals, with a 75% chance.
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