MATCH OVERVIEW
Ingolstadt and Ulm are set to face off in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Ingolstadt, currently showcasing a solid form with a high goal-scoring rate, will host Ulm, who have been equally impressive in their attacking prowess. The Audi Sportpark will be the venue for this exciting clash, scheduled for October 4th, 2025, at 12:00 PM.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Ingolstadt with odds of 1.99 for a home win, while Ulm's odds stand at 3.1 for an away victory. The draw is priced at 3.74, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 50.3% for Ingolstadt to win, 26.9% for Ulm, and 22.8% for a draw. Given Ingolstadt's home advantage and Ulm's recent form, a closely contested match is expected.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ingolstadt has been consistent this season, averaging 1.63 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 52.88%. Their offensive strength is highlighted by their high shots on target and expected goals metrics. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Ulm, on the other hand, has a slightly lower possession rate but matches Ingolstadt in goal-scoring ability, averaging 1.43 goals per match. Their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.71 goals per game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ingolstadt's Yann Sturm and Max Besuschkow have been key contributors, with Sturm scoring 3 goals this season. Ulm's Elias Löder has matched this tally, making him a crucial player for Ulm's attacking strategy. The matchup between Sturm and Löder could be decisive in determining the outcome of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Ingolstadt's offensive metrics, such as shots on target and expected goals, give them a slight edge over Ulm. However, Ulm's higher rate of successful tackles and interceptions could disrupt Ingolstadt's attacking flow. Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, with Ingolstadt's over 2.5 goals percentage at 50% and Ulm's at 85.71%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the data, Ingolstadt's home advantage and offensive capabilities make them slight favorites. However, Ulm's ability to score and disrupt play could lead to a competitive match. Key factors will include Ingolstadt's ability to capitalize on their chances and Ulm's defensive resilience. The final score prediction is Ingolstadt 2-1 Ulm, with a high probability of both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in the match.
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