MATCH OVERVIEW
Energie Cottbus will host Rot-Weiss Essen in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could shape the trajectory of their season. Both teams are eager to secure a win to bolster their positions in the league table. The match will be held at the Stadion der Freundschaft, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 on April 9, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Energie Cottbus favored slightly at odds of 2.00, indicating a 50% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.27, translating to a 30.6% chance, while Rot-Weiss Essen's odds of 3.19 suggest a 31.3% probability of an away victory. These odds reflect the closely matched nature of the teams, with Energie Cottbus having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Energie Cottbus has shown solid form this season, averaging 1.77 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 51.1%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 58.06% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.26 goals per game, supported by a strong interception rate of 44.65 per match.
Rot-Weiss Essen, on the other hand, averages 1.3 goals per game with a possession rate of 47.53%. They have a slightly lower over 2.5 goals percentage at 56.67%. Defensively, they concede 1.5 goals per match, with a notable interception rate of 41.53.
Head-to-head statistics show a balanced rivalry, with both teams having strengths in different areas. Energie Cottbus's higher possession and goal-scoring rate could give them an advantage, while Rot-Weiss Essen's defensive resilience might prove crucial.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Energie Cottbus's Timmy Thiele, with 13 goals this season, is a key player to watch. His striking partnership with Tolcay Cigerci, who has netted 12 goals, forms a formidable offensive threat. For Rot-Weiss Essen, Ahmet Arslan stands out with 9 goals, supported by Leonardo Vonic and Torben Müsel, each contributing 5 goals.
The matchup between Thiele and Arslan will be pivotal, as both players have the ability to change the game's dynamics with their scoring prowess.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Energie Cottbus boasts a higher average possession and successful passes rate, which could allow them to control the game's tempo. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.85 per match suggests a strong offensive potential. Rot-Weiss Essen's defensive metrics, including a higher successful tackles rate, indicate their ability to disrupt Energie Cottbus's attacking flow.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Energie Cottbus is likely to leverage their home advantage and superior offensive statistics to secure a win. Key factors such as possession control and goal-scoring ability will be crucial. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Energie Cottbus, with a half-time score of 1-0. The probability for both teams to score is high at 58.06%, with a 58.06% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.