MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Hansa Rostock and Erzgebirge Aue is set to be a captivating contest. Both teams are in the middle of the league table, and a win could significantly impact their standings. Hansa Rostock, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiarity with the Ostseestadion, while Erzgebirge Aue will be looking to upset the hosts and secure valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Hansa Rostock, with odds of 2.02 for a home win. The probability of a draw stands at 2.89, while an away win for Erzgebirge Aue is at 3.78. This indicates a 49.5% chance for Hansa Rostock to win, a 34.6% chance for a draw, and a 26.5% chance for Erzgebirge Aue to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Hansa Rostock
Hansa Rostock has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1.35 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.77%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.23 goals per game. Key strengths include their duels and crosses, with averages of 222.42 and 19.12 respectively.
Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.48 goals per match. Their possession is similar to Hansa Rostock at 50.64%, but they have conceded more goals, with an average of 1.52 per game. Their offensive play is supported by a higher average of assists at 1.16.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their fair share of victories. The tactical approach from both teams will likely focus on exploiting defensive weaknesses and maximizing their offensive capabilities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Hansa Rostock
- Sigurd Haugen: With 8 goals this season, Haugen is a key player for Hansa Rostock.
- Ahmet Gürleyen: His defensive prowess is crucial for maintaining stability at the back.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Marcel Bär: Leading the scoring charts for Aue with 10 goals, Bär is a significant threat.
- Marvin Stefaniak: His creative play and 6 goals make him a vital asset.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Hansa Rostock: Average shots per game stand at 12.96, with 4.85 on target.
- Erzgebirge Aue: Slightly lower average shots at 10.64, with 3.88 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Hansa Rostock: Average interceptions of 48.62 and clearances of 4.77.
- Erzgebirge Aue: Average interceptions of 42.56 and clearances of 6.16.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hansa Rostock appears to have a slight edge, especially with their home advantage. Key factors will include their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity. Erzgebirge Aue's attacking threat cannot be underestimated, particularly with Marcel Bär in form.
Final Score Prediction
Hansa Rostock 2 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue
Half Time Score Prediction
Hansa Rostock 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 49.5%
- Away Win: 26.5%
- Draw: 34.6%
- Both Teams to Score: 57%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 53%