MATCH OVERVIEW
Ulm and Wehen Wiesbaden are set to face off in a highly anticipated 3. Liga match. Ulm, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their attacking strengths, having scored an average of 1.38 goals per match this season. Meanwhile, Wehen Wiesbaden, with a slightly better defensive record, will aim to stifle Ulm's offensive threats. The match at Donaustadion is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their positions in the league.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Wehen Wiesbaden slightly favored at 2.3 compared to Ulm's 2.7. The draw is priced at 3.6, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 37% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 43% for an away win. Given Wehen Wiesbaden's stronger defensive statistics, they might edge out Ulm in this encounter.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ulm has shown a strong attacking presence, with an impressive 87.5% of their matches featuring over 2.5 goals. Their ability to score is complemented by a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 75%. However, their defense has been less robust, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. Wehen Wiesbaden, on the other hand, has a more balanced approach, with a lower Over 2.5 Goals percentage but a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.11 goals per match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Elias Löder has been a standout performer for Ulm, netting 5 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against Wehen Wiesbaden's defense. For Wehen Wiesbaden, Nikolas Agrafiotis has been in fine form, scoring 6 goals. The matchup between Löder and Agrafiotis could be decisive in determining the outcome of the match.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Ulm's offensive metrics, such as their average of 10.94 shots per match and 3.69 shots on target, highlight their attacking intent. However, their defensive metrics, including 2.5 goals conceded per match, suggest vulnerabilities that Wehen Wiesbaden could exploit. Wehen Wiesbaden's defensive strength is underscored by their average of 1.11 goals conceded and 3.39 goalkeeper saves per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Wehen Wiesbaden appears to have a slight edge due to their stronger defensive capabilities. Ulm's attacking prowess will be tested against a well-organized Wehen Wiesbaden defense. Key factors such as Löder's goal-scoring ability and Agrafiotis's form will play a significant role. The final score prediction is a narrow 2-1 victory for Wehen Wiesbaden, with a half-time score of 1-1. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 75%, and the match could see over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 87.5%.
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