Match Overview
The clash between Verl and Arminia Bielefeld in the 3. Liga is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. Both teams are looking to secure vital points as they aim to climb the league table. The match will be held at Verl's home stadium, providing them with a slight advantage.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Verl at 2.89, Draw at 3.29, and Arminia Bielefeld at 2.36. This suggests a closely contested match, with Arminia Bielefeld slightly favored to win. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 34.6% for a Verl win, 30.4% for a draw, and 42.4% for an Arminia Bielefeld victory. The odds indicate a competitive match, with a slight edge to the away team.
Team Analysis
Verl
- Current Form: Verl has played 26 matches this season, with a notable over 2.5 goals in 53.85% of their games.
- Strengths: High possession rate (59.27%), strong dribbling (11.88 successful dribbles per match).
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.35 goals per match, with a defensive CompaScore of 252.59.
- Head-to-Head: Verl will look to leverage their home advantage against Arminia Bielefeld.
Arminia Bielefeld
- Current Form: Arminia Bielefeld has played 25 matches, with a slightly lower over 2.5 goals percentage (52%).
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with 1.72 expected goals per match and a higher CompaScore rating of 1482.99.
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession (57.4%) compared to Verl.
- Head-to-Head: Arminia Bielefeld's recent form and higher CompaScore suggest they might have the upper hand.
Key Players Spotlight
Verl
- Dominik Steczyk: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Verl's attacking play.
- Fabio Gruber: Leading in points with 139.47, a key figure in midfield.
Arminia Bielefeld
- Julian Kania: Leading goal scorer with 9 goals, pivotal in Bielefeld's attack.
- Joel Grodowski: High performer with 156.07 points, influential in both attack and defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Arminia Bielefeld averages more shots (15.24) compared to Verl (13.65), indicating a more aggressive attacking approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Arminia Bielefeld concedes fewer goals (1.04) than Verl (1.35), showcasing a stronger defense.
- Possession and Passing: Verl's higher possession and passing accuracy could be crucial in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Arminia Bielefeld appears to have a slight edge over Verl. Key factors such as Bielefeld's superior offensive capabilities and defensive solidity could be decisive. However, Verl's home advantage and possession play could make this a tightly contested match. Expect a close encounter with potential for both teams to score.