MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Wehen Wiesbaden and Erzgebirge Aue is set to be a thrilling contest. Wehen Wiesbaden, playing at home, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win against Erzgebirge Aue. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league standings and improve their season performance. The match will be held at the Brita-Arena on November 28, 2025, at 18:00.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Wehen Wiesbaden with odds of 2.05 for a home win, while Erzgebirge Aue's odds stand at 3.3 for an away victory. The draw is priced at 3.4, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 48.78% for a Wehen Wiesbaden win, 29.41% for a draw, and 30.30% for an Erzgebirge Aue win. Given these odds, Wehen Wiesbaden is favored to win, but Erzgebirge Aue's chances should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Wehen Wiesbaden
Wehen Wiesbaden has shown a balanced performance this season with an average of 1.21 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.71%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 13.5 shots per game, with 5.36 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.21 goals per match, indicating a need for improvement in their backline.
Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue has a slightly higher possession rate at 49.5% and averages 1.14 goals per match. Their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.64 goals per game. Aue's offensive play is characterized by 13.64 shots per match, with 5.14 on target.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Wehen Wiesbaden likely to focus on their home advantage and Erzgebirge Aue aiming to exploit any defensive lapses.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Wehen Wiesbaden
- Nikolas Agrafiotis: Leading goal scorer with 5 goals this season.
- Florian Stritzel: Key defensive player with 149.06 points.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Julian Guttau: Top scorer with 4 goals.
- Ryan Malone: Defensive stalwart with 129.03 points.
Key matchups will include Agrafiotis against Malone, which could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Wehen Wiesbaden averages 1.89 expected goals per match, while Erzgebirge Aue averages 1.29.
- Defensive Metrics: Wehen Wiesbaden's expected goals against is 1.68, compared to Erzgebirge Aue's 1.8.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams have similar possession rates, but Erzgebirge Aue has a slight edge in successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Wehen Wiesbaden is slightly favored to win, given their home advantage and offensive capabilities. However, Erzgebirge Aue's resilience and ability to score could lead to a competitive match. Key factors will include defensive solidity and exploiting scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue Half Time Score Prediction: Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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