Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Wehen Wiesbaden and Erzgebirge Aue in the 3. Liga is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. Both teams are in the hunt for valuable points that could influence their standings as the season progresses. The match will be held at the Brita-Arena, a venue where Wehen Wiesbaden has shown formidable form.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Wehen Wiesbaden to win at 2.23, a draw at 3.12, and Erzgebirge Aue to win at 2.77. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Wehen Wiesbaden slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 44.8%, a draw at 32.1%, and an away win at 36.1%. Based on these odds, a narrow victory for Wehen Wiesbaden seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Wehen Wiesbaden
- Current Form: Wehen Wiesbaden has been consistent this season, with an average of 1.58 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.67%.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is bolstered by a high over 2.5 goals percentage (70.83%) and a solid both teams to score percentage (66.67%).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with an average of 1.58 goals conceded per match.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Current Form: Erzgebirge Aue has shown resilience with an average of 1.46 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 50.63%.
- Strengths: They have a balanced attack and defense, with a slightly lower over 2.5 goals percentage (62.5%) but a similar both teams to score percentage (66.67%).
- Weaknesses: Their defense can be breached, as indicated by their expected goals against of 1.73.
Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, Wehen Wiesbaden has had the upper hand, but Erzgebirge Aue's tactical flexibility could pose challenges. Both teams have shown the ability to score, making this a potentially high-scoring affair.
Tactical Approaches
Wehen Wiesbaden is likely to focus on exploiting their offensive strengths, utilizing players like Fatih Kaya, who has been prolific this season. Erzgebirge Aue, on the other hand, may adopt a more balanced approach, leveraging their possession advantage to control the tempo of the game.
Key Players Spotlight
Wehen Wiesbaden
- Fatih Kaya: Top scorer with 13 goals, his form will be crucial.
- Florian Carstens: A key defensive figure with 135.92 points.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Marcel Bär: Leading scorer with 10 goals, pivotal in attack.
- Marvin Stefaniak: Creative force with 104.61 points, essential for playmaking.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Wehen Wiesbaden averages 10.5 shots per match, with 3.46 on target, while Erzgebirge Aue averages 10.67 shots, with 3.88 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams concede an average of 1.58 goals per match, highlighting potential defensive frailties.
- Possession and Passing: Erzgebirge Aue's superior possession (50.63%) and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical insights and current form, Wehen Wiesbaden is slightly favored to edge out Erzgebirge Aue, especially with their home advantage. Key factors such as Fatih Kaya's goal-scoring prowess and Erzgebirge Aue's possession play will be decisive. Expect a closely fought match with both teams finding the net.
Final Score Prediction: Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue Half Time Score Prediction: Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.67% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70.83%