MATCH OVERVIEW
Freiburg and St. Pauli are set to face off in a crucial Bundesliga match at the Europa-Park Stadion. Scheduled for November 9, 2025, at 14:30 GMT, this encounter is pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points in the league standings. Freiburg, playing at home, will be keen to capitalize on their home advantage, while St. Pauli will strive to upset the hosts and improve their position.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest Freiburg is favored to win with odds of 1.72, translating to a probability of approximately 58%. The draw is priced at 3.76, indicating a 27% chance, while St. Pauli's odds of 4.28 reflect a 23% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Freiburg is expected to dominate, but St. Pauli's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Freiburg
Freiburg's current form shows a balanced approach with an average of 1.57 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.86%. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 1.57 goals conceded and 36.86 interceptions per game. Key strengths include their offensive rating of 750.04 and successful dribbles averaging 11.71 per match.
St. Pauli
St. Pauli, on the other hand, averages 1 goal per match and maintains a possession rate of 49%. Their defensive challenges are evident with 1.75 goals conceded per game. However, their offensive capabilities are supported by an average of 4.25 shots on target and a successful dribble rate of 8.88.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Freiburg has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. St. Pauli will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Freiburg
- Vincenzo Grifo: With 3 goals this season, Grifo is a key attacking threat.
- Lukas Kübler: His defensive contributions are crucial, having scored 1 goal and accumulated 285.26 points.
St. Pauli
- Andréas Hountondji: Leading the scoring charts for St. Pauli with 3 goals.
- Danel Sinani: A versatile player with 2 goals and 308.91 points.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Freiburg: Average of 411.86 passes per game, with a successful pass rate of 344.29.
- St. Pauli: Higher passing average at 499.75, indicating a focus on ball retention.
- Defensive Metrics: Freiburg's interceptions (36.86) vs. St. Pauli's (32) highlight a slight edge in defensive anticipation.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Freiburg's home advantage and superior form suggest they are likely to secure a victory. Key factors include their offensive prowess and defensive stability. St. Pauli's resilience will be tested, but their ability to counter-attack could pose challenges for Freiburg.
Final Score Prediction: Freiburg 2-1 St. Pauli Half Time Score Prediction: Freiburg 1-0 St. Pauli Probability of Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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