MATCH OVERVIEW
Stuttgart and Augsburg are gearing up for a pivotal Bundesliga clash that could have significant implications for both teams. Stuttgart, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong form and impressive statistics to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Augsburg will aim to upset the odds and claim valuable points on the road. The Mercedes-Benz Arena will host this exciting match, with kickoff set for 17:30 on May 11, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Stuttgart with a 1.62 chance of winning, reflecting their superior form and home advantage. The probability of a draw stands at 4.2, while Augsburg's chances are rated at 4.82. These odds suggest a high likelihood of a Stuttgart victory, but Augsburg's potential to surprise should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Stuttgart has been impressive this season, boasting a high possession rate of 56.87% and an average of 1.81 goals per match. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by a 70.97% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals. Defensively, they concede 1.65 goals per game, indicating room for improvement. Augsburg, on the other hand, has struggled with possession, averaging 44.16%, and scoring 1.06 goals per match. Their defense is slightly better, conceding 1.35 goals per game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Stuttgart's Deniz Undav, with 8 goals this season, will be a key player to watch. His ability to find the net could be crucial for Stuttgart's success. Augsburg's Alexis Claude-Maurice, who has scored 9 goals, will be pivotal in their attacking efforts. The matchup between these two players could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Stuttgart's offensive metrics, including 12.13 shots per game and 5.06 shots on target, demonstrate their attacking strength. Augsburg's defense, with 45.71 interceptions per game, will need to be at its best to counter Stuttgart's threats. Stuttgart's higher expected goals (1.86) compared to Augsburg's (1.11) further underscores their attacking superiority.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Stuttgart is likely to emerge victorious, leveraging their home advantage and superior attacking statistics. Key factors such as possession, goal-scoring ability, and player form favor Stuttgart. The final score prediction is a 2-1 win for Stuttgart, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 67.74%, and the match is expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 70.97%.