MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Bundesliga match between Heidenheim and Hamburger SV is set to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are looking to secure vital points as the season progresses, making this match crucial for their standings. The game will take place at Heidenheim's home ground on February 7, 2026, at 14:30.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are quite telling, with Heidenheim at 2.65, a draw at 3.34, and Hamburger SV at 2.38. This suggests a slightly higher probability for an away win, but the odds are close enough to indicate a competitive match. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 37.7% for a Heidenheim win, 29.9% for a draw, and 42.4% for a Hamburger SV victory. Given these odds, Hamburger SV is slightly favored, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Heidenheim
Heidenheim has had a mixed season, with an average of 19 matches played. They have a high over 2.5 goals percentage at 73.68%, indicating their games are often high-scoring. However, their average goals per match is only 0.89, suggesting they struggle to convert chances. Defensively, they concede an average of 2.21 goals per game, which is a concern.
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV, on the other hand, has played 18 matches with a more balanced approach. They have a 50% over 2.5 goals percentage and a similar both teams to score percentage. Their average goals per match is slightly higher at 0.94, and they concede 1.44 goals on average, showing a more solid defensive setup compared to Heidenheim.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with neither side dominating. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Heidenheim
- Stefan Schimmer: With 5 goals this season, Schimmer is a key player for Heidenheim. His ability to find the net will be crucial.
- Patrick Mainka: A defensive stalwart, Mainka's contributions at the back will be vital in keeping Hamburger SV at bay.
Hamburger SV
- Rayan Philippe: Leading the scoring charts for Hamburger SV with 4 goals, Philippe's form will be pivotal.
- Luka Vuskovic: Not only a defensive asset but also contributing 3 goals, Vuskovic is a player to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Heidenheim: Average possession of 43% and expected goals of 1.13 highlight their struggle to control games and convert chances.
- Hamburger SV: With a higher possession average of 49.78% and expected goals of 1.38, they appear more capable of dictating play.
- Defensive Comparison: Hamburger SV's lower average conceded goals (1.44) compared to Heidenheim (2.21) suggests a stronger defensive unit.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hamburger SV seems to have a slight edge due to their better defensive record and slightly higher goal-scoring ability. Key factors such as Stefan Schimmer's form for Heidenheim and Rayan Philippe's impact for Hamburger SV could be decisive. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a final score prediction of 1-2 in favor of Hamburger SV. Both teams are likely to score, and there is a good chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
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