MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Cosenza and Brescia is set to be a captivating battle as both teams look to improve their standings in the league. With Cosenza playing at home, they will be eager to leverage their home advantage against Brescia, who have shown resilience throughout the season. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure vital points in the latter stages of the season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Cosenza slightly favored at 2.52, Brescia at 2.74, and the draw at 3.14. These odds indicate a balanced probability of outcomes, with Cosenza having a slight edge due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 39.7%, while an away win is at 36.5%, and a draw at 31.8%. Given these odds, a tight match is expected, with potential for either side to claim victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cosenza
Cosenza's season has been marked by a mixed bag of performances, with an average of 0.84 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.28%. Their defensive record shows 1.44 goals conceded per game, highlighting a need for improvement at the back. Key strengths include their dribbling ability, averaging 22.38 dribbles per match, and their interception rate of 40.59, which could be crucial in disrupting Brescia's play.
Brescia
Brescia, on the other hand, have been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.09 goals per match. Their possession rate of 46.53% suggests they may struggle to dominate the midfield against Cosenza. However, their defensive stats are slightly better, conceding 1.31 goals per game. Brescia's ability to execute successful crosses, averaging 6.78 per match, could be a key factor in breaking down Cosenza's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Cosenza and Brescia have been closely contested, with both teams having their fair share of victories. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming fixture, as past encounters suggest a competitive match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Cosenza
- Gabriele Artistico: With 154.27 points this season, Artistico is a key player for Cosenza, having scored 4 goals.
- Alessandro Micai: A solid performer with 138.16 points, Micai's defensive contributions will be vital.
Brescia
- Luca Lezzerini: Leading Brescia with 160.56 points, Lezzerini's goalkeeping skills will be crucial.
- Dimitri Bisoli: With 159.72 points, Bisoli's midfield presence is essential for Brescia's strategy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Cosenza: Average shots per game stand at 12.63, with 3.97 on target. Their expected goals (xG) is 1.11, indicating potential for improvement in finishing.
- Brescia: Slightly better in attack with 12.44 shots per game and 4.31 on target. Their xG of 1.31 suggests they are more likely to convert chances.
Possession and Passing
- Cosenza: Average 349.47 passes per game with a success rate of 279.34.
- Brescia: Slightly higher passing stats with 359.78 passes and 292.25 successful.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested with both teams having the potential to win. Cosenza's home advantage and Brescia's slightly better offensive stats suggest a balanced game. Key factors will include Cosenza's ability to disrupt Brescia's play and Brescia's execution of crosses.
Final Score Prediction
Given the statistics and form, a 1-1 draw seems likely, with both teams scoring. The probability for both teams to score is high, at 56.25%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is moderate, at 40.63%.