MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Modena and Frosinone is set to be a pivotal clash in the race for promotion. Both teams have shown resilience throughout the season, and this encounter at Modena's home ground could be decisive in their quest for higher league positions. With the match scheduled for April 13, 2025, at 13:00, fans are eagerly anticipating a high-stakes battle.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Modena, with a home win priced at 2.2, a draw at 3.01, and an away win at 3.46. This translates to a probability of approximately 45.5% for Modena to secure victory, 33.2% for a draw, and 28.9% for Frosinone to win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Modena having a marginal advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Modena
Modena has been consistent this season, averaging 1.25 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 46.91%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 43.75% over 2.5 goals percentage and a 59.38% both teams to score rate. Defensively, Modena concedes an average of 1.19 goals per game, showcasing a balanced approach.
Frosinone
Frosinone, on the other hand, averages 1 goal per match with a slightly higher possession rate of 48.03%. Their over 2.5 goals percentage stands at 46.88%, and they have a 56.25% both teams to score rate. Frosinone's defense has been tested, conceding 1.34 goals per game, which could be a concern against Modena's attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Modena and Frosinone have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to their upcoming clash.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Modena
- Antonio Palumbo: With 8 goals this season, Palumbo is a key figure in Modena's attack.
- Giovanni Zaro: His defensive prowess will be crucial in keeping Frosinone at bay.
Frosinone
- Ilario Monterisi: A standout performer with 145.1 points, Monterisi's contributions are vital.
- Michele Cerofolini: His goalkeeping skills could be the difference in a tight match.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Modena averages 11.13 shots per game, with 3.78 on target, while Frosinone averages 11.72 shots, with 3.97 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Modena's interceptions average at 40.47, compared to Frosinone's 37.19.
- Passing Accuracy: Both teams have similar successful pass rates, with Modena at 302.66 and Frosinone at 305.5.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena appears to have a slight edge, particularly with their home advantage and offensive capabilities. Key factors such as Antonio Palumbo's form and Modena's ability to maintain possession could be decisive.
Final Score Prediction
Modena 2 - 1 Frosinone
Half Time Score Prediction
Modena 1 - 0 Frosinone
Match-Winning Factors
- Home advantage for Modena
- Antonio Palumbo's goal-scoring form
- Defensive stability of Modena
In conclusion, while Frosinone will pose a significant challenge, Modena's strengths and home advantage make them favorites to clinch a narrow victory.