MATCH OVERVIEW
Padova and Südtirol face off in a crucial Serie B match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Padova, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to secure a win. Meanwhile, Südtirol, known for their attacking style, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from Padova. The match is set to take place at Padova's home ground on November 1st, 2025, at 14:00.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Padova slightly favored at 2.17, indicating a 46% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 3.25, reflecting a 31% chance, while Südtirol's odds of 3.15 suggest a 32% probability of an away victory. These odds highlight the potential for a closely contested match, with Padova having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Padova
Padova's season has been marked by a balanced approach, with a 50% rate of matches featuring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Their possession average of 46.88% indicates a moderate control of the game, while their expected goals (xG) of 1.08 per match suggest a consistent attacking threat. Defensively, Padova concedes an average of 1.13 goals per game, which they will need to improve against Südtirol's potent attack.
Südtirol
Südtirol has been impressive with a high both teams to score percentage of 87.5%, showcasing their attacking capabilities. Their average possession of 35.5% suggests a counter-attacking style, relying on quick transitions. With an xG of 1.46, Südtirol poses a significant threat, especially given Padova's defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Padova and Südtirol have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. This match could be another close encounter, with tactical adjustments playing a crucial role.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Padova
- Mattia Bortolussi: With 3 goals this season, Bortolussi is Padova's key attacking player.
- Kevin Varas: His creative play and 124.55 points make him a vital asset in midfield.
Südtirol
- Silvio Merkaj: Leading the scoring charts with 3 goals, Merkaj is Südtirol's main threat.
- Raphael Kofler: His 175.54 points highlight his influence in both defense and attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Padova: Average 10.25 shots per game, with 4.13 on target, indicating a need for improved accuracy.
- Südtirol: Average 13.13 shots per game, with 4.38 on target, showcasing their attacking intent.
Possession and Passing
- Padova: 388.13 passes per game with a success rate of 317.25, reflecting a structured approach.
- Südtirol: 228.38 passes per game, focusing on direct play and quick transitions.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Padova's home advantage and Südtirol's attacking prowess suggest a competitive match. Key factors will include Padova's ability to contain Südtirol's attack and capitalize on their chances. A draw seems likely, with both teams scoring.
Final Score Prediction: 1-1 Half Time Score Prediction: 0-0 Probability for Both Teams to Score: 75% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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