Match Overview
Avispa Fukuoka and Machida Zelvia face off in a crucial J League match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Both teams have shown competitive form, and this encounter at Avispa Fukuoka's home ground is pivotal for their aspirations.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Machida Zelvia slightly favored:
- Home Win: 3.08
- Draw: 2.84
- Away Win: 2.39
The probabilities based on these odds are:
- Home Win Probability: 32.47%
- Draw Probability: 35.21%
- Away Win Probability: 41.84%
Machida Zelvia's slight edge in the odds indicates a higher likelihood of an away victory, but the draw remains a strong possibility.
Team Analysis
Avispa Fukuoka
- Current Form: Averaging 0.83 goals per match, Avispa Fukuoka has struggled offensively but maintains a solid defense with 0.83 goals conceded.
- Strengths: Strong defensive metrics with 40.67 interceptions and a low expected goals against of 0.8.
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output with only 0.33 assists per match.
Machida Zelvia
- Current Form: Averaging 1.17 goals per match, Machida Zelvia shows better offensive capabilities.
- Strengths: Solid defensive performance with 0.67 goals conceded and a high defensive CompaScore rating of 478.03.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate compared to their offensive output.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had closely contested matches, with Machida Zelvia often edging out Avispa Fukuoka.
Key Players Spotlight
Avispa Fukuoka
- Tomoya Ando: Key player with 224.43 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
- Nassim Ben Khalifa: A goal scorer who can change the game's dynamics.
Machida Zelvia
- Takuma Nishimura: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals, crucial for Machida's offensive strategy.
- Yuta Nakayama: Defensive stalwart with 212.67 points, vital for maintaining Machida's defensive integrity.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Avispa Fukuoka: 13.17 shots per match, with 4 on target.
- Machida Zelvia: 8.67 shots per match, with 2.83 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Avispa Fukuoka: 6.33 clearances per match.
- Machida Zelvia: 6.5 clearances per match.
Possession and Passing
- Avispa Fukuoka: 45.67% possession, 364 passes per match.
- Machida Zelvia: 49.17% possession, 363.17 passes per match.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Machida Zelvia is slightly favored to win, but Avispa Fukuoka's strong defense could lead to a draw. Key factors include Machida's offensive prowess and Avispa's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: 1-1 Half Time Score Prediction: 0-0 Both Teams to Score Probability: 33.33% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 33.33%