Match Overview
The upcoming J League match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Shonan Bellmare is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their positions in the league table. Shimizu S-Pulse, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the IAI Stadium Nihondaira to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Shonan Bellmare will be keen to capitalize on their recent form and challenge the hosts.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Shimizu S-Pulse slightly favored at 2.18. The probability of a draw stands at 3.21, while Shonan Bellmare's odds are 3.08. This indicates a close contest, with Shimizu S-Pulse having a slight edge.
- Home Win Probability: 45.9%
- Draw Probability: 31.2%
- Away Win Probability: 32.5%
Given these odds, Shimizu S-Pulse is expected to have a marginal advantage, but Shonan Bellmare's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
Team Analysis
Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average possession of 50% and a goal-scoring rate of 1 per match. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by conceding only 0.6 goals per game. However, their offensive output needs improvement, as they average only 2.8 shots on target.
Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Their possession rate of 47.6% and higher shots on target (4.4) suggest a more aggressive approach. Defensively, they match Shimizu S-Pulse with 0.6 goals conceded per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with neither side dominating. This trend is likely to continue given their current form and statistics.
Tactical Approaches
Shimizu S-Pulse may focus on maintaining possession and building play through their midfield, while Shonan Bellmare could exploit their higher shots on target to press the home side's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
Shimizu S-Pulse
- Kai Matsuzaki: With 1 goal this season, Matsuzaki will be crucial in breaking down Shonan Bellmare's defense.
- Capixaba: Another key player with 1 goal, his creativity and dribbling skills will be vital.
Shonan Bellmare
- A. Suzuki: Leading the scoring charts with 3 goals, Suzuki's form will be pivotal.
- Sho Fukuda: With 2 goals, Fukuda's ability to find the net could be decisive.
Statistical Deep Dive
Shimizu S-Pulse:
- Average Goals: 1
- Average Possession: 50%
- Average Shots on Target: 2.8
Shonan Bellmare:
- Average Goals: 1.2
- Average Possession: 47.6%
- Average Shots on Target: 4.4
Shonan Bellmare's offensive metrics suggest they might have a slight edge in attacking play.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Shimizu S-Pulse's home advantage and defensive stability could be key factors. However, Shonan Bellmare's attacking prowess and recent form make them formidable opponents.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors:
- Shimizu S-Pulse's defensive organization
- Shonan Bellmare's attacking efficiency
Final Score Prediction: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Half Time Score Prediction: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%